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FINAL · ESPN+ · RICE STADIUM
TLSATulsa
384-3 · 1-2 American
38
FINAL
RICERice
171-6 · 0-3 American
17
TLSA −3.5 COVEROVER 47.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP TLSA 62%→POSTGAME WE TLSA 88%
Rice Stadium · 14,626
Postgame WE
88%TLSA · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.30RICE +0.01
Success rate
48%RICE 44%
Turnovers
0–0
vs model
+21proj TLSA by 4.9
Plays · pace
125proj 128 · 28.8s

Win probability · full game

TLSA LOW 23% · Q2 8:27 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 4.0

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Tulsa
    Robinson sacks Brown, −18
    (01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Brown sacked for loss of 18 yards to the Rice19 (#2 D.Robinson), fumble by #11 J.Brown recovered by Tulsa #32 H.Ball at Rice19 #32 H.Ball return 14 yards to the Rice05 (#28 D.Hardeman Jr.)
    Q2 1:57 · 1st & 10 RICE 37 · −7.0 RICE EPA
    Q2 1:57 · 1st & 10 RICE 37 · −7.0 RICE EPA
    +.25
  2. 2Rice
    Brown 78-yd TD run
    (10:59) Shotgun #11 J.Brown rush middle for 78 yards gain to the Tulsa00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:59, 1ST DOWN #49 T.Bauchiero kick attempt good (H: #29 C.Durkin, LS: #51 P.Derichsweiler)
    Q2 10:59 · 2nd & 10 · 7–10 → 7–17 · +6.9 EPA
    Q2 10:59 · 7–10 → 7–17 · +6.9 EPA
    −.20
  3. 3Rice
    Brown 38-yd pass to Clark
    (05:48) Shotgun #11 J.Brown pass complete deep right to #19 J.Clark caught at Rice32, for 38 yards to the Rice41 (#4 T.Williams), 1ST DOWN
    Q1 5:48 · 1st & 10 RICE 3 · +2.4 EPA
    Q1 5:48 · 1st & 10 RICE 3 · +2.4 EPA
    −.15
  4. 4Rice
    Brown 50-yd TD run
    (12:10) Shotgun #11 J.Brown rush left for 50 yards gain to the Tulsa00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:10, 1ST DOWN #49 T.Bauchiero kick attempt good (H: #29 C.Durkin, LS: #51 P.Derichsweiler)
    Q1 12:10 · 2nd & 8 · 0–0 → 0–7 · +4.4 EPA
    Q1 12:10 · 0–0 → 0–7 · +4.4 EPA
    −.14
  5. 5Tulsa
    Hayes 8-yd TD to Singleton
    (00:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete short right to #2 O.Singleton caught at Rice00, for 8 yards to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:33 #10 O.Carey kick attempt good (H: #29 M.Tulen, LS: #42 A.Fedigan)
    Q2 0:33 · 3rd & Goal · 14–17 → 21–17 · +3.5 EPA
    Q2 0:33 · 14–17 → 21–17 · +3.5 EPA
    +.14

Player EPA

Total · game
Full box scoreAll 125 plays