Troy vs Louisiana

TROYTroy

63-3 · 1-1 Sun Belt

FINAL

ULLouisiana

335-2 · 2-1 Sun Belt

UL −3 COVERUNDER 49.5MODEL EDGE HIT

PREGAME WP UL 59%→POSTGAME WE UL 96%

Cajun Field · 20,623

Win probability · full game

UL LOW 54% · Q1 13:46 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 2.2

Ranked by |win probability added|

1
Winfield 3-yd TD to Wade
(12:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass complete short right to #9 K.Wade caught at Troy05, for 3 yards to the Troy00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:15 #95 T.Sterner kick attempt good (H: #49 M.Golding, LS: #54 C.Kraft)
Q1 12:15 · 3rd & Goal · 0–0 → 7–0 · +2.3 EPA
Q1 12:15 · 0–0 → 7–0 · +2.3 EPA
+.18
2
Golding 50-yd punt
(13:37) #49 M.Golding punt 50 yards to the Troy08 muffed by #4 N.White at Troy08 recovered by UL #37 H.Kidder at Troy08, End Of Play
Q1 13:37 · 4th & 4 UL 42 · +6.1 EPA
Q1 13:37 · 4th & 4 UL 42 · +6.1 EPA
+.16
3
Winfield 2-yd run
(12:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield rush left for 2 yards gain to the Troy03 (#18 J.Perry; #22 D.Smith)
Q1 12:57 · 2nd & Goal TROY 5 · −0.4 UL EPA
Q1 12:57 · 2nd & Goal TROY 5 · −0.4 UL EPA
−.15
4
Lovett 7-yd run
(08:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Lovett rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UL32 (#37 H.Kidder), 1ST DOWN
Q2 8:44 · 3rd & 3 UL 39 · +1.3 EPA
Q2 8:44 · 3rd & 3 UL 39 · +1.3 EPA
−.08
5
Holding on Troy
(06:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Crowder rush left for 3 yards gain to the UL17, out of bounds at UL17 PENALTY Troy Holding (#65 T.Cappi) 10 yards from UL20 to UL30. NO PLAY
Q2 6:52 · 3rd & 8 UL 20 · −1.4 TROY EPA
Q2 6:52 · 3rd & 8 UL 20 · −1.4 TROY EPA
+.07

Total · game