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FINAL · USA NETWORK · RESER STADIUM
WSUWashington State
301-6 · 0-3 Pac-12
30
FINAL
ORSTOregon State
485-2 · 3-0 Pac-12
48
WSU +18.5 COVEROVER 52.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP ORST 85%→POSTGAME WE ORST 79%
Reser Stadium · 39,257
Postgame WE
79%ORST · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.37WSU +0.22
Success rate
47%WSU 41%
Turnovers
0–1≈ 0.8 pts swing
vs model
+18proj ORST by 16.8
Plays · pace
150proj 134 · 24.0s

Win probability · full game

ORST LOW 88% · Q1 13:27 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 3.0

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Oregon State
    Woods 2-yd run
    (13:22) Shotgun #3 M.Woods rush right for 2 yards gain to the WSU21 (#2 A.Sullivan; #44 T.Hickle)
    Q1 13:22 · 2nd & 10 WSU 19 · −1.3 WSU EPA
    Q1 13:22 · 2nd & 10 WSU 19 · −1.3 WSU EPA
    +.03
  2. 2Washington State
    Atkinson incomplete to Butler
    (13:38) Shotgun #2 B.Atkinson pass incomplete deep left to #0 A.Butler thrown to WSU22
    Q1 13:38 · 3rd & 10 ORST 47 · −1.4 ORST EPA
    Q1 13:38 · 3rd & 10 ORST 47 · −1.4 ORST EPA
    −.02
  3. 3Oregon State
    Ojeda 48-yd FG good
    (01:27) #28 C.Ojeda field goal attempt from 48 yards GOOD (H: #38 A.Winsor, LS: #47 T.Sanford), clock 01:23
    Q1 1:27 · 4th & 11 · 14–0 → 17–0 · +2.3 EPA
    Q1 1:27 · 14–0 → 17–0 · +2.3 EPA
    +.02
  4. 4Oregon State
    Ojeda 46-yd FG good
    (07:42) #28 C.Ojeda field goal attempt from 46 yards GOOD (H: #38 A.Winsor, LS: #47 T.Sanford), clock 07:38
    Q2 7:42 · 4th & 12 · 17–3 → 20–3 · +2.2 EPA
    Q2 7:42 · 17–3 → 20–3 · +2.2 EPA
    +.02
  5. 5Washington State
    Eshelman 7-yd run
    (12:39) Shotgun #17 O.Eshelman rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WSU28 (#97 T.Bailey)
    Q1 12:39 · 3rd & 8 WSU 21 · +0.2 EPA
    Q1 12:39 · 3rd & 8 WSU 21 · +0.2 EPA
    −.02

Player EPA

Total · game
Full box scoreAll 150 plays