Florida State vs Miami

FSUFlorida State

353-4 · 1-3 ACC

FINAL/2OT

MIAMiami

436-0 · 4-0 ACC

FSU +20.5 COVEROVER 57.5MODEL EDGE MISS

PREGAME WP MIA 90%→POSTGAME WE MIA 49%

Hard Rock Stadium · 66,790

Win probability · full game

MIA LOW 9% · OT · EXCITEMENT INDEX 9.2

Ranked by |win probability added|

1
Mallory 25-yd TD run
(00:00) Shotgun #21 J.Mallory rush left for 25 yards gain to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:00, 1ST DOWN #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #94 D.Joyce, LS: #46 A.Booker)
OT 0:00 · 2nd & 10 · 28–35 → 35–35 · +3.6 EPA
OT 0:00 · 28–35 → 35–35 · +3.6 EPA
+.71
2
Daniels 20-yd TD to Robinson
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass complete deep left to #0 D.Robinson caught at UM00, for 20 yards to the UM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:00, 1ST DOWN #39 G.Panikowski kick attempt good (H: #87 C.Jula, LS: #48 C.Bowers)
OT 0:00 · 3rd & 5 · 28–28 → 28–35 · +3.6 EPA
OT 0:00 · 28–28 → 28–35 · +3.6 EPA
−.50
3
Fletcher run, no gain
(14:16) Shotgun #4 M.Fletcher Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the FSU18 (#10 C.Jones), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Q4 14:16 · 4th & 1 FSU 18 · turnover on downs · −3.6 MIA EPA
Q4 14:16 · 4th & 1 FSU 18 · −3.6 MIA EPA
−.21
4
St kneels
(00:28) Kneel down by Florida St. at FSU04 for loss of 2 yards
Q4 0:28 · 2nd & 5 FSU 6 · 0.0 EPA
Q4 0:28 · 2nd & 5 FSU 6 · 0.0 EPA
−.21
5
Mallory 3-yd TD run
(09:37) #21 J.Mallory rush left for 3 yards gain to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:33 #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #94 D.Joyce, LS: #46 A.Booker)
Q4 9:37 · 1st & Goal · 14–21 → 21–21 · +1.1 EPA
Q4 9:37 · 14–21 → 21–21 · +1.1 EPA
+.15

Total · game