

KENTKent State
22-5 · 1-2 MACFINAL


USFSouth Florida
295-2 · 1-2 AmericanUSF −20.5 COVERUNDER 46.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP USF 81%→POSTGAME WE USF 93%
Raymond James Stadium · 31,384- Postgame WE
- 93%USF · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- −0.09KENT −0.54
- Success rate
- 46%KENT 31%
- Turnovers
- 0–1≈ 12.7 pts swing
- vs model
- +27proj USF by 14.7
- Plays · pace
- 124proj 121 · 29.0s
Win probability · full game
USF LOW 76% · Q2 14:51 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 3.1Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

DeShields fumble, USF recovers, returned for a TD(12:45) #12 D.DeShields rush middle for 3 yards loss to the USF04 fumbled by #12 D.DeShields at USF02 recovered by USF #1 C.Hicks at USF04 #1 C.Hicks return 96 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:32 #7 N.Gramatica kick attempt good (H: #39 L.Goater, LS: #49 E.Bonnett)Q2 12:45 · 3rd & Goal · 0–2 → 7–2 · −12.7 KENT EPAQ2 12:45 · 0–2 → 7–2 · −12.7 KENT EPA+.13 - 2

Caffey 3-yd run(14:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Caffey rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USF03 (#25 Z.Hamilton)Q2 14:39 · 1st & Goal USF 6 · +0.1 KENT EPAQ2 14:39 · 1st & Goal USF 6 · +0.1 KENT EPA+.06 - 3

Taylor safety(02:04) Shotgun #5 D.Crowther rush middle for 3 yards loss to the USF00 (#91 D.Taylor). #91 D.Taylor SAFETY, clock 01:52Q1 2:04 · 1st & 10 · 0–0 → 0–2 · −1.9 USF EPAQ1 2:04 · 0–0 → 0–2 · −1.9 USF EPA−.05 - 4

DeShields 30-yd pass to Smith(04:07) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #85 B.Smith caught at USF39, for 30 yards to the USF25 (#15 T.Beasley), 1ST DOWNQ2 4:07 · 3rd & 17 KENT 45 · +3.4 EPAQ2 4:07 · 3rd & 17 KENT 45 · +3.4 EPA−.05 - 5

DeShields 2-yd pass to Harris(02:49) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #6 W.Harris caught at USF03, for 2 yards to the USF03 (#5 A.Jackson)Q1 2:49 · 3rd & 4 USF 5 · −1.7 KENT EPAQ1 2:49 · 3rd & 4 USF 5 · −1.7 KENT EPA+.03
Player EPA
Total · game

Cameron Seldon · WR4 REC · 60 YDS · 1 TD+4.1
Nolan Good · QB0/3 · 0 YDS · 0 INT · 1 SACK−4.1
Da'Realyst Clark · WR2 REC · 20 YDS−5.2
Michael Van Buren Jr. · QB22/27 · 193 YDS · 1 TD · 0 INT · 4 SACKS−6.7
Dru DeShields · QB17/30 · 165 YDS · 0 INT · FUM · 2 SACKS−19.4

