

NDNotre Dame
246-1 · 0-0 IndependentsFINAL


BYUBYU
286-0 · 3-0 Big 12BYU +10.5 COVEROVER 47.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP BYU 36%→POSTGAME WE BYU 75%
LaVell Edwards Stadium · 65,179- Postgame WE
- 75%BYU · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.25ND +0.05
- Success rate
- 49%ND 38%
- Turnovers
- 0–1≈ 4.5 pts swing
- vs model
- −4proj ND by 6.1
- Plays · pace
- 146proj 124 · 24.7s
Win probability · full game
BYU LOW 18% · Q4 8:05 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 6.3Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Carr incomplete to Greathouse(00:04) Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete short right to #1 J.Greathouse thrown to BYU00Q4 0:04 · 1st & Goal BYU 8 · −4.1 ND EPAQ4 0:04 · 1st & Goal BYU 8 · −4.1 ND EPA+.65 - 2

Carr 24-yd pass to Greathouse(00:52) Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete deep middle to #1 J.Greathouse caught at BYU37, for 24 yards to the BYU37, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNQ4 0:52 · 3rd & 10 ND 39 · +1.9 EPAQ4 0:52 · 3rd & 10 ND 39 · +1.9 EPA−.33 - 3

Carr 6-yd pass to Gilbert(00:09) Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short middle to #14 M.Gilbert caught at BYU09, for 6 yards to the BYU08 (#11 F.Satuala), 1ST DOWNQ4 0:09 · 4th & 5 BYU 14 · +1.8 EPAQ4 0:09 · 4th & 5 BYU 14 · +1.8 EPA−.31 - 4

Bachmeier 26-yd pass to Glasker(04:23) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short middle to #1 L.Glasker caught at ND24, for 26 yards to the ND15 (#15 L.Moore; #8 A.Shuler), 1ST DOWNQ4 4:23 · 2nd & 10 ND 41 · +2.5 EPAQ4 4:23 · 2nd & 10 ND 41 · +2.5 EPA+.25 - 5

Bachmeier 6-yd TD to Lyons(01:51) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short middle to #7 W.Lyons caught at ND00, for 6 yards to the ND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:47 #97 M.Dunn kick attempt good (H: #19 F.Shurtz, LS: #88 T.Smith)Q4 1:51 · 3rd & Goal · 21–24 → 28–24 · +3.3 EPAQ4 1:51 · 21–24 → 28–24 · +3.3 EPA+.21
Player EPA
Total · game

Bear Bachmeier · QB23/36 · 224 YDS · 1 TD · 1 INT · 45 RUSH YDS+17.1
Kyler Kasper · WR6 REC · 66 YDS+10.6
Walker Lyons · TE5 REC · 49 YDS · 1 TD+7.4
Legend Glasker · WR5 REC · 66 YDS+4.1
Jojo Phillips · WR3 REC · 25 YDS+3.6
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 376 | 360 |
| Plays | 79 | 67 |
| Yards / play | 4.8 | 5.4 |
| EPA / play | +0.05 | +0.25 |
| Success rate | 38% | 49% |
| Explosive plays | 6 | 6 |
| Havoc rate | 9% | 14% |
| 3rd down | 8–19 | 8–12 |
| Pts / opportunity | 2.67 | 3.11 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 |
| Time of possession | — | — |
| Postgame WE | 25% | 75% |

