

UKKentucky
216-1 · 4-1 SECFINAL


OUOklahoma
133-3 · 1-2 SECUK +7 COVERUNDER 44.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP UK 39%→POSTGAME WE UK 68%
Memorial Stadium · 83,218- Postgame WE
- 68%UK · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- −0.05OU −0.17
- Success rate
- 39%OU 40%
- Turnovers
- 0–2≈ 14.0 pts swing
- vs model
- −8proj OU by 4.6
- Plays · pace
- 126proj 124 · 28.6s
Win probability · full game
UK LOW 11% · Q3 1:27 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 6.7Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Castell 41-yd pick-sixJordan Castell 41 Yd Interception Return (Adam Zouagui Kick)Q4 1:17 · 3rd & 8 · 14–13 → 21–13 · −7.2 OU EPAQ4 1:17 · 14–13 → 21–13 · −7.2 OU EPA+.41 - 2

Mateer 20-yd TD to Beers(00:35) Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass complete deep middle to #81 R.Beers caught at UK00, for 20 yards to the UK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:30, 1ST DOWN #29 T.Sandell kick attempt good (H: #87 J.Ulrich, LS: #50 B.Anderson)Q2 0:35 · 3rd & 8 · 7–3 → 7–10 · +4.2 EPAQ2 0:35 · 7–3 → 7–10 · +4.2 EPA−.19 - 3

Gadson C.Works sacks Mateer, −2(01:29) Shotgun #10 J.Mateer sacked for loss of 2 yards to the OU32 (#94 T.Gadson, #15 C.Works)Q4 1:29 · 2nd & 6 OU 34 · −0.4 OU EPAQ4 1:29 · 2nd & 6 OU 34 · −0.4 OU EPA+.19 - 4

Mateer 8-yd pass to Beers(01:59) Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass complete short middle to #81 R.Beers caught at OU27, for 8 yards to the OU30 (#22 G.Godfrey; #5 J.Castell), 1ST DOWNQ4 1:59 · 2nd & 8 OU 22 · +1.0 EPAQ4 1:59 · 2nd & 8 OU 22 · +1.0 EPA−.16 - 5

Kreul sacks Minchey, −8(06:07) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey sacked for loss of 8 yards to the OU13 (#98 J.Kreul), TURNOVER ON DOWNSQ4 6:07 · 4th & 3 OU 5 · turnover on downs · −3.3 UK EPAQ4 6:07 · 4th & 3 OU 5 · −3.3 UK EPA−.15
Player EPA
Total · game

Jordan Castell · DB2 INT · PBU · 9 TKL+7.5
Manny Choice · WR5 REC · 98 YDS+7.1
Ty Bryant · DB2 INT · 9 TKL+6.7
Rocky Beers · TE4 REC · 45 YDS · 1 TD+6.1
John Mateer · QB24/40 · 270 YDS · 1 TD · 3 INT · 5 SACKS−10.6

