Skip to content
FINAL · SEC NETWORK · MEMORIAL STADIUM
UKKentucky
216-1 · 4-1 SEC
21
FINAL
OUOklahoma
133-3 · 1-2 SEC
13
UK +7 COVERUNDER 44.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP UK 39%→POSTGAME WE UK 68%
Memorial Stadium · 83,218
Postgame WE
68%UK · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
−0.05OU −0.17
Success rate
39%OU 40%
Turnovers
0–2≈ 14.0 pts swing
vs model
−8proj OU by 4.6
Plays · pace
126proj 124 · 28.6s

Win probability · full game

UK LOW 11% · Q3 1:27 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 6.7

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Kentucky
    Castell 41-yd pick-six
    Jordan Castell 41 Yd Interception Return (Adam Zouagui Kick)
    Q4 1:17 · 3rd & 8 · 14–13 → 21–13 · −7.2 OU EPA
    Q4 1:17 · 14–13 → 21–13 · −7.2 OU EPA
    +.41
  2. 2Oklahoma
    Mateer 20-yd TD to Beers
    (00:35) Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass complete deep middle to #81 R.Beers caught at UK00, for 20 yards to the UK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:30, 1ST DOWN #29 T.Sandell kick attempt good (H: #87 J.Ulrich, LS: #50 B.Anderson)
    Q2 0:35 · 3rd & 8 · 7–3 → 7–10 · +4.2 EPA
    Q2 0:35 · 7–3 → 7–10 · +4.2 EPA
    −.19
  3. 3Kentucky
    Gadson C.Works sacks Mateer, −2
    (01:29) Shotgun #10 J.Mateer sacked for loss of 2 yards to the OU32 (#94 T.Gadson, #15 C.Works)
    Q4 1:29 · 2nd & 6 OU 34 · −0.4 OU EPA
    Q4 1:29 · 2nd & 6 OU 34 · −0.4 OU EPA
    +.19
  4. 4Oklahoma
    Mateer 8-yd pass to Beers
    (01:59) Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass complete short middle to #81 R.Beers caught at OU27, for 8 yards to the OU30 (#22 G.Godfrey; #5 J.Castell), 1ST DOWN
    Q4 1:59 · 2nd & 8 OU 22 · +1.0 EPA
    Q4 1:59 · 2nd & 8 OU 22 · +1.0 EPA
    −.16
  5. 5Oklahoma
    Kreul sacks Minchey, −8
    (06:07) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey sacked for loss of 8 yards to the OU13 (#98 J.Kreul), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
    Q4 6:07 · 4th & 3 OU 5 · turnover on downs · −3.3 UK EPA
    Q4 6:07 · 4th & 3 OU 5 · −3.3 UK EPA
    −.15

Player EPA

Total · game

Play-by-play

Box score

Team box score, Kentucky at Oklahoma
StatUKOU
Total yards230346
Plays5472
Yards / play4.34.8
EPA / play−0.05−0.17
Success rate39%40%
Explosive plays37
Havoc rate21%11%
3rd down5–128–17
Pts / opportunity2.331.63
Turnovers02
Time of possession28:3631:24
Postgame WE68%32%