LOULouisville
344-3 · 3-2 ACCFINAL
SYRSyracuse
262-4 · 0-4 ACCSYR +14.5 COVEROVER 56.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP LOU 60%→POSTGAME WE LOU 64%
JMA Wireless Dome · 39,293- Postgame WE
- 64%LOU · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.16SYR −0.06
- Success rate
- 44%SYR 45%
- Turnovers
- 1–2≈ 4.9 pts swing
- vs model
- +8proj LOU by 4.3
- Plays · pace
- 142proj 141 · 25.4s
Win probability · full game
LOU LOW 68% · Q1 8:40 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 7.3Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1
White intercepts Nelson(10:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 M.Nelson pass intercepted by #38 C.White at LOU36 broken up by #6 S.Clark #38 C.White return 8 yards to the LOU44 (#11 C.Weaver)Q4 10:23 · 1st & 10 LOU 49 · −5.2 SYR EPAQ4 10:23 · 1st & 10 LOU 49 · −5.2 SYR EPA+.13 - 2
Nelson 41-yd TD to Hatcher(08:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 M.Nelson pass complete deep right to #2 U.Hatcher caught at LOU07, for 41 yards to the LOU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:40, 1ST DOWN #40 S.Barker kick attempt good (H: #41 J.Gregg, LS: #21 F.Brown Jr.)Q1 8:45 · 3rd & 8 · 0–3 → 0–10 · +5.8 EPAQ1 8:45 · 0–3 → 0–10 · +5.8 EPA−.13 - 3Kerr intercepts Kienholz(09:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass intercepted by #3 D.Kerr at SYR46 #3 D.Kerr return 11 yards to the LOU43 (#53 L.Robinson; #1 I.Brown)Q1 9:32 · 2nd & 5 LOU 41 · −5.3 LOU EPAQ1 9:32 · 2nd & 5 LOU 41 · −5.3 LOU EPA−.11
- 4Kienholz 46-yd TD to Brown(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short right to #1 I.Brown caught at LOU45, for 46 yards to the SYR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:28, 1ST DOWN #35 C.Hilbert kick attempt good (H: #17 R.Zimmerman, LS: #51 H.Travelstead)Q2 0:34 · 2nd & 11 · 21–23 → 28–23 · +6.4 EPAQ2 0:34 · 21–23 → 28–23 · +6.4 EPA+.10
- 5Kienholz 82-yd TD run(02:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz rush right for 82 yards gain to the SYR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:19, 1ST DOWN #35 C.Hilbert kick attempt good (H: #17 R.Zimmerman, LS: #51 H.Travelstead)Q1 2:28 · 3rd & 2 · 7–10 → 14–10 · +7.1 EPAQ1 2:28 · 7–10 → 14–10 · +7.1 EPA+.09
Player EPA
Total · game
- Umari Hatcher · WR13 REC · 224 YDS · 1 TD+15.2
- Lincoln Kienholz · QB14/26 · 310 YDS · 1 TD · 2 INT · 53 RUSH YDS+13.8
- Ahmad Miller · RB18 CAR · 123 YDS · 1 TD · 1 REC · 7 REC YDS+9.0
- Davien Kerr · DB1 SACK · 1 TFL · 2 INT · PBU · 5 TKL+7.3
- Tylik Hill · RB11 CAR · 26 YDS−8.5
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | LOU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 425 | 462 |
| Plays | 61 | 83 |
| Yards / play | 7.0 | 5.6 |
| EPA / play | +0.16 | −0.06 |
| Success rate | 44% | 45% |
| Explosive plays | 10 | 9 |
| Havoc rate | 22% | 31% |
| 3rd down | 6–13 | 3–14 |
| Pts / opportunity | 3.86 | 2.11 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 2 |
| Time of possession | 27:36 | 32:24 |
| Postgame WE | 64% | 36% |