

ELONElon
70-1 · 0-0 Coastal AthleticFINAL


STANStanford
343-4 · 1-3 ACCELON +33.5 COVERUNDER 55.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP STAN 79%→POSTGAME WE STAN 95%
Stanford Stadium · 18,940- Postgame WE
- 95%STAN · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.24ELON −0.14
- Success rate
- 51%ELON 31%
- Turnovers
- 1–0≈ 7.0 pts swing
- vs model
- +27proj STAN by 13.4
- Plays · pace
- 134proj 126 · 26.9s
Win probability · full game
STAN LOW 97% · Q1 6:01 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 2.6Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Kenney 35-yd FG no good(08:10) #13 E.Kenney field goal attempt from 35 yards NO GOOD (H: #37 A.Flintoft, LS: #47 A.Chavez), clock 08:07Q1 8:10 · 4th & 12 ELON 22 · −2.7 STAN EPAQ1 8:10 · 4th & 12 ELON 22 · −2.7 STAN EPA−.01 - 2

Mcdowell-Moore 12-yd run(06:06) #22 K.Mcdowell-Moore rush middle for 12 yards gain to the ELON47 (#39 C.Eckhardt; #5 J.Green), 1ST DOWNQ1 6:06 · 2nd & 10 ELON 35 · +1.6 EPAQ1 6:06 · 2nd & 10 ELON 35 · +1.6 EPA−.01 - 3

Crews incomplete to Alford, broken up by Bryant(04:20) Shotgun #12 T.Crews IV pass incomplete short middle to #17 J.Alford thrown to STAN25 broken up by #4 L.BryantQ1 4:20 · 2nd & 9 STAN 37 · −1.2 ELON EPAQ1 4:20 · 2nd & 9 STAN 37 · −1.2 ELON EPA+.01 - 4

Holding on ELON(04:15) Shotgun #12 T.Crews IV pass incomplete short middle to #0 Z.Winston thrown to STAN33 QB hurried by #0 J.Galvan PENALTY ELON Holding (#58 G.Navarro) 10 yards from STAN37 to STAN47. NO PLAYQ1 4:15 · 3rd & 9 STAN 37 · −1.1 ELON EPAQ1 4:15 · 3rd & 9 STAN 37 · −1.1 ELON EPA+.01 - 5

Mcdowell-Moore 7-yd run(06:51) #22 K.Mcdowell-Moore rush middle for 7 yards gain to the ELON35 (#10 S.Mattingly), 1ST DOWNQ1 6:51 · 3rd & 4 ELON 28 · +1.7 EPAQ1 6:51 · 3rd & 4 ELON 28 · +1.7 EPA−.01
Player EPA
Total · game

Micah Ford · RB19 CAR · 179 YDS · 4 TD · 5 REC · 52 REC YDS+15.0
Davis Warren · QB27/39 · 279 YDS · 1 TD · 0 INT+11.1
JonAnthony Hall · WR5 REC · 70 YDS+5.4
−5.1
TJ Crews IV · QB8/27 · 52 YDS · 0 INT−13.5
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 272 | 515 |
| Plays | 61 | 74 |
| Yards / play | 4.5 | 7.0 |
| EPA / play | −0.14 | +0.24 |
| Success rate | 31% | 51% |
| Explosive plays | 6 | 9 |
| Havoc rate | 8% | 12% |
| 3rd down | 3–14 | 5–12 |
| Pts / opportunity | 1.00 | 4.25 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Time of possession | — | — |
| Postgame WE | 5% | 95% |

