Skip to content
Slate
FINAL · ESPN+ · MALONE STADIUM
LTLouisiana Tech
244-2 · 2-0 Sun Belt
24
FINAL
ULMUL Monroe
00-6 · 0-2 Sun Belt
0
LT −13.5 COVERUNDER 55.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP LT 74%→POSTGAME WE LT 89%
Malone Stadium · 20,653
Postgame WE
89%LT · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.01ULM −0.35
Success rate
40%ULM 37%
Turnovers
1–2≈ 9.9 pts swing
vs model
+24proj LT by 10.5
Plays · pace
119proj 131 · 30.3s

Win probability · full game

LT LOW 71% · Q2 0:02 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 4.8

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Louisiana Tech
    Burnette 3-yd run
    No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Burnette rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Tech09 (#97 T.Brown; #3 N.Flemmings)
    Q2 11:30 · 1st & 10 LT 6 · +3.8 EPA
    Q2 11:30 · 1st & 10 LT 6 · +3.8 EPA
    +.10
  2. 2Louisiana Tech
    Rogers intercepts Armenta
    (14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Armenta pass intercepted by #16 T.Rogers at Tech40 #16 T.Rogers return for loss of 2 yards to the Tech38, End Of Play
    Q3 14:59 · 1st & 10 ULM 25 · −2.3 ULM EPA
    Q3 14:59 · 1st & 10 ULM 25 · −2.3 ULM EPA
    +.09
  3. 3UL Monroe
    Baker incomplete to Calwise
    (06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 B.Baker pass incomplete short right to #6 M.Calwise Jr. thrown to ULM10
    Q2 6:13 · 2nd & 9 ULM 23 · −5.4 LT EPA
    Q2 6:13 · 2nd & 9 ULM 23 · −5.4 LT EPA
    −.09
  4. 4Louisiana Tech
    Burnette 9-yd run
    No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Burnette rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Tech13 (#3 N.Flemmings; #97 T.Brown)
    Q2 10:27 · 3rd & 12 LT 9 · +4.7 EPA
    Q2 10:27 · 3rd & 12 LT 9 · +4.7 EPA
    +.08
  5. 5UL Monroe
    Burnette run, no gain
    (07:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Burnette rush middle for 0 yards to the ULM42 (#98 C.Vatne; #25 M.Madubuike)
    Q2 7:36 · 2nd & 9 ULM 46 · −2.2 LT EPA
    Q2 7:36 · 2nd & 9 ULM 46 · −2.2 LT EPA
    −.07

Player EPA

Total · game
Full box scoreAll 119 plays