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FINAL · MW+ · SUN BOWL
SJSUSan José State
244-3 · 2-1 Mountain West
24
FINAL
UTEPUTEP
111-6 · 0-3 Mountain West
11
SJSU −6.5 COVERUNDER 46.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP SJSU 65%→POSTGAME WE SJSU 78%
Sun Bowl · 8,576
Postgame WE
78%SJSU · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.22UTEP +0.06
Success rate
43%UTEP 41%
Turnovers
0–0
vs model
+13proj SJSU by 6.3
Plays · pace
142proj 122 · 25.4s

Win probability · full game

SJSU LOW 55% · Q1 13:54 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 4.3

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1UTEP
    Colson 64-yd pass to Thomas
    (14:59) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass complete deep middle to #8 K.Thomas caught at SJSU32, for 64 yards to the SJSU11 (#1 B.Dukes), 1ST DOWN
    Q1 14:59 · 1st & 10 UTEP 25 · +4.5 EPA
    Q1 14:59 · 1st & 10 UTEP 25 · +4.5 EPA
    −.08
  2. 2San José State
    Rolovich 63-yd pass to Clark
    (14:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Rolovich pass complete deep right to #1 C.Clark caught at UTEP41, for 63 yards to the UTEP08 (#2 X.Smith), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
    Q3 14:39 · 2nd & 6 SJSU 29 · +4.9 EPA
    Q3 14:39 · 2nd & 6 SJSU 29 · +4.9 EPA
    +.07
  3. 3San José State
    Arreola 37-yd FG no good
    (12:12) #91 C.Arreola field goal attempt from 37 yards NO GOOD (H: #47 B.Braun, LS: #46 C.Loeb), clock 12:12
    Q1 12:12 · 4th & 18 SJSU 19 · −2.2 UTEP EPA
    Q1 12:12 · 4th & 18 SJSU 19 · −2.2 UTEP EPA
    +.06
  4. 4San José State
    Lewis sacks Moore, −15
    (02:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 R.Moore III sacked for loss of 15 yards to the UTEP36 (#99 N.Lewis), fumble by #12 R.Moore III recovered by UTEP #56 B.Williams Jr. at UTEP36, End Of Play
    Q2 2:45 · 1st & 10 SJSU 49 · −1.5 UTEP EPA
    Q2 2:45 · 1st & 10 SJSU 49 · −1.5 UTEP EPA
    +.06
  5. 5San José State
    Rolovich 11-yd TD to Clark
    (08:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Rolovich pass complete short right to #1 C.Clark caught at UTEP05, for 11 yards to the UTEP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:59, 1ST DOWN #36 T.Sinatra kick attempt good (H: #49 T.Carrizosa, LS: #44 D.Aguilera)
    Q1 8:03 · 2nd & 7 · 0–0 → 7–0 · +2.4 EPA
    Q1 8:03 · 0–0 → 7–0 · +2.4 EPA
    +.06

Player EPA

Total · game