

SJSUSan José State
244-3 · 2-1 Mountain WestFINAL


UTEPUTEP
111-6 · 0-3 Mountain WestSJSU −6.5 COVERUNDER 46.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP SJSU 65%→POSTGAME WE SJSU 78%
Sun Bowl · 8,576- Postgame WE
- 78%SJSU · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.22UTEP +0.06
- Success rate
- 43%UTEP 41%
- Turnovers
- 0–0
- vs model
- +13proj SJSU by 6.3
- Plays · pace
- 142proj 122 · 25.4s
Win probability · full game
SJSU LOW 55% · Q1 13:54 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 4.3Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Colson 64-yd pass to Thomas(14:59) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass complete deep middle to #8 K.Thomas caught at SJSU32, for 64 yards to the SJSU11 (#1 B.Dukes), 1ST DOWNQ1 14:59 · 1st & 10 UTEP 25 · +4.5 EPAQ1 14:59 · 1st & 10 UTEP 25 · +4.5 EPA−.08 - 2

Rolovich 63-yd pass to Clark(14:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Rolovich pass complete deep right to #1 C.Clark caught at UTEP41, for 63 yards to the UTEP08 (#2 X.Smith), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNQ3 14:39 · 2nd & 6 SJSU 29 · +4.9 EPAQ3 14:39 · 2nd & 6 SJSU 29 · +4.9 EPA+.07 - 3

Arreola 37-yd FG no good(12:12) #91 C.Arreola field goal attempt from 37 yards NO GOOD (H: #47 B.Braun, LS: #46 C.Loeb), clock 12:12Q1 12:12 · 4th & 18 SJSU 19 · −2.2 UTEP EPAQ1 12:12 · 4th & 18 SJSU 19 · −2.2 UTEP EPA+.06 - 4

Lewis sacks Moore, −15(02:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 R.Moore III sacked for loss of 15 yards to the UTEP36 (#99 N.Lewis), fumble by #12 R.Moore III recovered by UTEP #56 B.Williams Jr. at UTEP36, End Of PlayQ2 2:45 · 1st & 10 SJSU 49 · −1.5 UTEP EPAQ2 2:45 · 1st & 10 SJSU 49 · −1.5 UTEP EPA+.06 - 5

Rolovich 11-yd TD to Clark(08:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Rolovich pass complete short right to #1 C.Clark caught at UTEP05, for 11 yards to the UTEP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:59, 1ST DOWN #36 T.Sinatra kick attempt good (H: #49 T.Carrizosa, LS: #44 D.Aguilera)Q1 8:03 · 2nd & 7 · 0–0 → 7–0 · +2.4 EPAQ1 8:03 · 0–0 → 7–0 · +2.4 EPA+.06
Player EPA
Total · game

Carson Clark · WR5 REC · 104 YDS · 1 TD+8.1
Viliami Teu · RB20 CAR · 156 YDS · 2 TD · 1 REC · 2 REC YDS+6.5
Jayland McGlothen · DL3 SACKS · 3 TFL · 5 TKL+6.0
Nik Henry · WR2 REC · 26 YDS · 8 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD+4.9
Kam Thomas · RB4 REC · 96 YDS+4.7
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 426 | 462 |
| Plays | 58 | 84 |
| Yards / play | 7.3 | 5.5 |
| EPA / play | +0.22 | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 43% | 41% |
| Explosive plays | 7 | 12 |
| Havoc rate | 17% | 7% |
| 3rd down | 6–13 | 5–16 |
| Pts / opportunity | 3.43 | 1.57 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
| Time of possession | — | — |
| Postgame WE | 78% | 22% |

