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FINAL · CBSSN · SNAPDRAGON STADIUM
FRESFresno State
234-3 · 1-2 Pac-12
23
FINAL
SDSUSan Diego State
263-4 · 2-1 Pac-12
26
SDSU +6.5 COVEROVER 46.5
PREGAME WP SDSU 35%→POSTGAME WE SDSU 54%
Snapdragon Stadium · 21,847
Postgame WE
54%SDSU · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.04FRES −0.06
Success rate
43%FRES 45%
Turnovers
1–1≈ 1.0 pts swing
vs model
−3proj FRES by 6.5
Plays · pace
125proj 119 · 28.8s

Win probability · full game

SDSU LOW 25% · Q3 4:13 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 5.6

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1San Diego State
    DiLeva 53-yd FG good
    (01:00) #96 C.DiLeva field goal attempt from 53 yards GOOD (H: #89 T.Dorje, LS: #64 C.Poulson), clock 00:57
    Q4 1:00 · 4th & 8 · 23–23 → 26–23 · +2.3 EPA
    Q4 1:00 · 23–23 → 26–23 · +2.3 EPA
    +.28
  2. 2San Diego State
    Saunders 26-yd pass to Napier
    (02:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 S.Saunders pass complete short left to #24 J.Napier caught at SDSU47, for 26 yards to the FS37 (#18 L.Studt), 1ST DOWN
    Q4 2:18 · 3rd & 10 SDSU 37 · +2.3 EPA
    Q4 2:18 · 3rd & 10 SDSU 37 · +2.3 EPA
    +.23
  3. 3Fresno State
    Mandal 29-yd pass to Avit
    (05:58) Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass complete deep left to #0 E.Avit caught at SDSU03, for 29 yards to the SDSU02 (#29 J.Hunter), 1ST DOWN
    Q4 5:58 · 2nd & 10 SDSU 31 · +3.3 EPA
    Q4 5:58 · 2nd & 10 SDSU 31 · +3.3 EPA
    −.20
  4. 4San Diego State
    Emanuel 7-yd TD to Napier
    (12:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 B.Emanuel, Jr. pass complete short left to #24 J.Napier caught at FS12, for 7 yards to the FS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:00 #96 C.DiLeva kick attempt good (H: #89 T.Dorje, LS: #64 C.Poulson)
    Q4 12:00 · 3rd & Goal · 16–17 → 23–17 · +3.1 EPA
    Q4 12:00 · 16–17 → 23–17 · +3.1 EPA
    +.20
  5. 5Fresno State
    Fangupo fumble, FS recovers
    (06:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #47 K.Fangupo rush left for 1 yard loss to the SDSU38 fumbled by #47 K.Fangupo at SDSU39 recovered by FS #11 D.Hampsten at SDSU38, End Of Play
    Q2 6:39 · 2nd & 10 SDSU 39 · −4.4 SDSU EPA
    Q2 6:39 · 2nd & 10 SDSU 39 · −4.4 SDSU EPA
    −.17

Player EPA

Total · game