

JMUJames Madison
317-1 · 4-1 Sun BeltFINAL/OT


APPApp State
345-2 · 2-1 Sun BeltAPP +12.5 COVEROVER 56.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP APP 27%→POSTGAME WE APP 66%
Kidd Brewer Stadium · 33,322- Postgame WE
- 66%APP · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.03JMU 0.00
- Success rate
- 43%JMU 39%
- Turnovers
- 0–1≈ 5.5 pts swing
- vs model
- −3proj JMU by 10.2
- Plays · pace
- 148proj 135 · 24.3s
Win probability · full game
APP LOW 7% · Q1 10:42 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 10.1Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Coleman 6-yd TD run(00:06) Shotgun #7 C.Coleman rush middle for 6 yards gain to the APP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:03 #5 M.Suarez kick attempt good (H: #11 P.Rea, LS: #47 M.Dietzel)Q4 0:06 · 1st & Goal · 31–24 → 31–31 · +2.7 EPAQ4 0:06 · 31–24 → 31–31 · +2.7 EPA−.46 - 2

London 40-yd FG good(00:00) #83 J.London field goal attempt from 40 yards GOOD (H: #40 J.Dunn, LS: #34 P.Stone), clock 00:00OT 0:00 · 3rd & 7 · 31–31 → 34–31 · +0.1 EPAOT 0:00 · 31–31 → 34–31 · +0.1 EPA+.44 - 3

Phares intercepts Coleman(06:15) Shotgun #7 C.Coleman pass intercepted by #10 C.Phares at JMU35 #10 C.Phares return 21 yards to the JMU14 (#6 G.Pettaway; #53 D.Michel), out of boundsQ4 6:15 · 1st & 10 JMU 25 · −5.5 JMU EPAQ4 6:15 · 1st & 10 JMU 25 · −5.5 JMU EPA+.29 - 4

Coleman 3-yd pass to Harrison(00:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Coleman pass complete short middle to #8 J.Harrison caught at APP07, for 3 yards to the APP06 (#6 K.Conley), 1ST DOWN. APP is challenging the ruling on the field - "First down". CALL UPHELDQ4 0:18 · 4th & 3 APP 9 · +1.7 EPAQ4 0:18 · 4th & 3 APP 9 · +1.7 EPA−.21 - 5

Coleman incomplete to Harrison, broken up by Conley(00:23) Shotgun #7 C.Coleman pass incomplete short left to #8 J.Harrison thrown to APP00 broken up by #6 K.ConleyQ4 0:23 · 3rd & 3 APP 9 · −1.4 JMU EPAQ4 0:23 · 3rd & 3 APP 9 · −1.4 JMU EPA+.17
Player EPA
Total · game

Malachi Singleton · QB26/40 · 271 YDS · 2 TD · 0 INT+8.4
JC Evans · QB5/7 · 99 YDS · 1 TD · 0 INT+7.2
Colton Phares · LB1 TFL · INT · 13 TKL+6.7
Jamel Howse · TE5 REC · 49 YDS+5.5
George Pettaway · RB15 CAR · 57 YDS · 1 TD · 2 REC · 13 REC YDS−6.6

