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FINAL · ESPNU · KIDD BREWER STADIUM
JMUJames Madison
317-1 · 4-1 Sun Belt
31
FINAL/OT
APPApp State
345-2 · 2-1 Sun Belt
34
APP +12.5 COVEROVER 56.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP APP 27%→POSTGAME WE APP 66%
Kidd Brewer Stadium · 33,322
Postgame WE
66%APP · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.03JMU 0.00
Success rate
43%JMU 39%
Turnovers
0–1≈ 5.5 pts swing
vs model
−3proj JMU by 10.2
Plays · pace
148proj 135 · 24.3s

Win probability · full game

APP LOW 7% · Q1 10:42 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 10.1

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1James Madison
    Coleman 6-yd TD run
    (00:06) Shotgun #7 C.Coleman rush middle for 6 yards gain to the APP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:03 #5 M.Suarez kick attempt good (H: #11 P.Rea, LS: #47 M.Dietzel)
    Q4 0:06 · 1st & Goal · 31–24 → 31–31 · +2.7 EPA
    Q4 0:06 · 31–24 → 31–31 · +2.7 EPA
    −.46
  2. 2App State
    London 40-yd FG good
    (00:00) #83 J.London field goal attempt from 40 yards GOOD (H: #40 J.Dunn, LS: #34 P.Stone), clock 00:00
    OT 0:00 · 3rd & 7 · 31–31 → 34–31 · +0.1 EPA
    OT 0:00 · 31–31 → 34–31 · +0.1 EPA
    +.44
  3. 3App State
    Phares intercepts Coleman
    (06:15) Shotgun #7 C.Coleman pass intercepted by #10 C.Phares at JMU35 #10 C.Phares return 21 yards to the JMU14 (#6 G.Pettaway; #53 D.Michel), out of bounds
    Q4 6:15 · 1st & 10 JMU 25 · −5.5 JMU EPA
    Q4 6:15 · 1st & 10 JMU 25 · −5.5 JMU EPA
    +.29
  4. 4James Madison
    Coleman 3-yd pass to Harrison
    (00:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Coleman pass complete short middle to #8 J.Harrison caught at APP07, for 3 yards to the APP06 (#6 K.Conley), 1ST DOWN. APP is challenging the ruling on the field - "First down". CALL UPHELD
    Q4 0:18 · 4th & 3 APP 9 · +1.7 EPA
    Q4 0:18 · 4th & 3 APP 9 · +1.7 EPA
    −.21
  5. 5App State
    Coleman incomplete to Harrison, broken up by Conley
    (00:23) Shotgun #7 C.Coleman pass incomplete short left to #8 J.Harrison thrown to APP00 broken up by #6 K.Conley
    Q4 0:23 · 3rd & 3 APP 9 · −1.4 JMU EPA
    Q4 0:23 · 3rd & 3 APP 9 · −1.4 JMU EPA
    +.17

Player EPA

Total · game

Play-by-play

Box score

Team box score, James Madison at App State
StatJMUAPP
Total yards423366
Plays7675
Yards / play5.64.9
EPA / play0.00+0.03
Success rate39%43%
Explosive plays79
Havoc rate15%11%
3rd down2–157–18
Pts / opportunity2.183.78
Turnovers10
Time of possession——
Postgame WE34%66%