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FINAL · CBSSN · FIFTH THIRD STADIUM
LIBLiberty
346-1 · 3-0 C-USA
34
FINAL
KENNKennesaw State
61-6 · 0-3 C-USA
6
LIB −8.5 COVERUNDER 50.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP LIB 69%→POSTGAME WE LIB 96%
Fifth Third Stadium · 8,159
Postgame WE
96%LIB · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.24KENN −0.29
Success rate
46%KENN 36%
Turnovers
0–1≈ 3.0 pts swing
vs model
+28proj LIB by 8.1
Plays · pace
130proj 129 · 27.7s

Win probability · full game

LIB LOW 68% · Q1 14:07 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 3.2

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Liberty
    McKenzie 29-yd punt
    (13:47) #34 M.McKenzie punt 29 yards to the LU15, out of bounds at LU15
    Q1 13:47 · 4th & 4 LIB 44 · −1.0 KENN EPA
    Q1 13:47 · 4th & 4 LIB 44 · −1.0 KENN EPA
    +.09
  2. 2Liberty
    Purdie 25-yd pass to Jackson
    (12:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie pass complete deep middle to #2 M.Jackson caught at LU31, for 25 yards to the LU36 (#31 K.Russell), 1ST DOWN
    Q1 12:52 · 3rd & 14 LIB 11 · +4.3 EPA
    Q1 12:52 · 3rd & 14 LIB 11 · +4.3 EPA
    +.05
  3. 3Liberty
    Farrar intercepts Collins
    (12:02) #1 R.Collins pass intercepted by #1 D.Farrar at KENN12, End Of Play
    Q3 12:02 · 1st & 10 KENN 9 · −5.2 KENN EPA
    Q3 12:02 · 1st & 10 KENN 9 · −5.2 KENN EPA
    +.05
  4. 4Kennesaw State
    False Start on LU
    PENALTY LU False Start (#2 M.Jackson) 5 yards from LU16 to LU11. NO PLAY
    Q1 13:00 · 3rd & 9 LIB 16 · −1.3 LIB EPA
    Q1 13:00 · 3rd & 9 LIB 16 · −1.3 LIB EPA
    −.05
  5. 5Liberty
    Purdie 56-yd TD to Coleman
    (01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie pass complete deep right to #0 J.Coleman caught at KENN33, for 56 yards to the KENN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:53, 1ST DOWN #42 C.Reeves kick attempt good (H: #49 S.Crossan, LS: #41 G.Rivera)
    Q1 1:00 · 1st & 10 · 7–0 → 14–0 · +4.6 EPA
    Q1 1:00 · 7–0 → 14–0 · +4.6 EPA
    +.05

Player EPA

Total · game