

ECUEast Carolina
343-4 · 1-2 AmericanFINAL/OT


MEMMemphis
416-2 · 3-1 AmericanECU +10.5 COVEROVER 55.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP MEM 69%→POSTGAME WE MEM 65%
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium · 27,788- Postgame WE
- 65%MEM · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.15ECU +0.04
- Success rate
- 48%ECU 33%
- Turnovers
- 0–1≈ 2.6 pts swing
- vs model
- +7proj MEM by 8.3
- Plays · pace
- 156proj 133 · 23.1s
Win probability · full game
MEM LOW 18% · Q3 10:14 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 9.5Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Tuck 42-yd punt(11:25) #30 H.Tuck punt 42 yards to the ECU27 muffed by #0 K.Pearson at ECU27 recovered by MEM #26 J.Lewis at ECU28, End Of PlayQ4 11:25 · 4th & 4 MEM 31 · +5.8 EPAQ4 11:25 · 4th & 4 MEM 31 · +5.8 EPA+.20 - 2

Stokes 20-yd pass to Davis(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete deep middle to #13 J.Davis caught at ECU05, for 20 yards to the ECU05 (#22 A.Ross), 1ST DOWNOT 0:00 · 1st & 10 ECU 25 · +1.5 EPAOT 0:00 · 1st & 10 ECU 25 · +1.5 EPA+.18 - 3

Griffis 20-yd TD to Sides(01:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis pass complete deep middle to #7 L.Sides caught at MEM00, for 20 yards to the MEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:30, 1ST DOWN #43 N.Perez kick attempt good (H: #83 E.Huether, LS: #53 B.Shirley)Q4 1:32 · 4th & 9 · 34–27 → 34–34 · +5.1 EPAQ4 1:32 · 34–27 → 34–34 · +5.1 EPA−.17 - 4

Stokes 59-yd TD to Hayes(13:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete deep right to #11 J.Hayes caught at ECU10, for 59 yards to the ECU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:37, 1ST DOWN #80 P.Laforge kick attempt good (H: #30 H.Tuck, LS: #54 W.Simmons)Q3 13:42 · 2nd & 9 · 3–16 → 10–16 · +5.5 EPAQ3 13:42 · 3–16 → 10–16 · +5.5 EPA+.16 - 5

Griffis 16-yd pass to Sides(09:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis pass complete short right to #7 L.Sides caught at ECU36, for 16 yards to the ECU41 (#12 B.Mwamba), 1ST DOWNQ4 9:46 · 1st & 10 ECU 25 · +1.7 EPAQ4 9:46 · 1st & 10 ECU 25 · +1.7 EPA−.15
Player EPA
Total · game

Marcus Stokes · QB29/43 · 320 YDS · 3 TD · 31 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD+18.2
Landon Sides · WR7 REC · 130 YDS · 1 TD+15.1
Jemyri Davis · WR7 REC · 91 YDS · 2 TD+12.2
Stonka Burnside · WR6 REC · 61 YDS+8.2
Hunter Tipton · TE8 REC · 29 YDS · 1 SACK−12.4

