Massachusetts vs UConn · havoc

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FINAL · CBSSN · PRATT & WHITNEY STADIUM

MASSMassachusetts

164-4 · 1-3 MAC

16

FINAL

CONNUConn

354-3 · 0-0 Independents

35

CONN −12.5 COVERUNDER 53.5MODEL EDGE MISS

PREGAME WP CONN 70%→POSTGAME WE CONN 88%

Pratt & Whitney Stadium · 32,106

Postgame WE: 88%CONN · 10k sims; How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play: +0.15MASS −0.12
Success rate: 42%MASS 31%
Turnovers: 0–0
vs model: +19proj CONN by 8.7
Plays · pace: 130proj 123 · 27.7s

Win probability · full game

CONN LOW 67% · Q1 7:03 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 3.6

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|

1
Osborne incomplete to Porter, broken up by Reed, turnover on downs
(08:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short middle to #5 S.Porter thrown to UMass25 broken up by #0 I.Reed, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Q2 8:26 · 4th & 7 MASS 39 · turnover on downs · −2.0 CONN EPA
Q2 8:26 · 4th & 7 MASS 39 · −2.0 CONN EPA
−.07
2
Pass Interference on UMass
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete deep right to #0 K.Wilson thrown to UC48, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UMass Pass Interference (#7 T.Magee) 15 yards from UC24 to UC39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
Q1 7:03 · 3rd & 11 CONN 24 · +3.7 EPA
Q1 7:03 · 3rd & 11 CONN 24 · +3.7 EPA
+.06
3
Luqman J.Mickens sacks Watson, −1
#5 W.Watson III sacked for loss of 1 yard to the UC06 (#15 A.Luqman, #52 J.Mickens)
Q1 12:27 · 3rd & Goal CONN 5 · −1.4 EPA
Q1 12:27 · 3rd & Goal CONN 5 · −1.4 EPA
−.06
4
Bowers 1-yd run
No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Bowers rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UMass28 (#42 A.DePaepe; #95 H.Dirstine), 1ST DOWN
Q1 7:03 · 4th & 1 MASS 29 · +1.6 EPA
Q1 7:03 · 4th & 1 MASS 29 · +1.6 EPA
+.06
5
Watson 23-yd pass to Alsup
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass complete short middle to #85 D.Alsup caught at UC37, for 23 yards to the UC32 (#4 B.Moore), 1ST DOWN
Q1 15:00 · 2nd & 7 MASS 45 · +1.8 EPA
Q1 15:00 · 2nd & 7 MASS 45 · +1.8 EPA
−.05

Player EPA

Total · game

Cyncir Bowers · RB15 CAR · 131 YDS · 1 TD · 1 REC · 5 REC YDS
+7.1
Isaiah Reed · CB3 PBU · 3 TKL
+4.8
Jediyah Willoughby · WR3 REC · 65 YDS · 1 TD
+4.0
Curtis Kimmons IV · RB3 CAR · 7 YDS · 5 REC · 33 REC YDS · 1 REC TD
−3.7
William Watson III · QB22/38 · 205 YDS · 1 TD · FUM · 2 SACKS
−8.3

Full box score All 130 plays

Play-by-play

Box score

Team box score, Massachusetts at UConn
Stat	MASS	CONN
Total yards	303	438
Plays	66	65
Yards / play	4.6	6.7
EPA / play	−0.12	+0.15
Success rate	31%	42%
Explosive plays	4	10
Havoc rate	17%	14%
3rd down	2–14	4–12
Pts / opportunity	2.29	2.33
Turnovers	0	0
Time of possession	25:45	34:15
Postgame WE	12%	88%