

ARMYArmy
385-2 · 4-1 AmericanFINAL


TLSATulsa
354-4 · 1-3 AmericanARMY −1.5 COVEROVER 53.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP ARMY 47%→POSTGAME WE ARMY 46%
Chapman Stadium · 20,247- Postgame WE
- 54%TLSA · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.13TLSA +0.31
- Success rate
- 38%TLSA 45%
- Turnovers
- 0–0
- vs model
- −3proj TLSA by 1.3
- Plays · pace
- 123proj 130 · 29.3s
Win probability · full game
ARMY LOW 6% · Q4 9:37 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 6.8Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Hellums 16-yd run(00:11) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 16 yards gain to the Tulsa36, out of bounds at Tulsa36, 1ST DOWNQ4 0:11 · 2nd & 10 ARMY 48 · +0.7 EPAQ4 0:11 · 2nd & 10 ARMY 48 · +0.7 EPA+.27 - 2

Harris-Miller J.Bousum sacks Hayes, −4(01:07) Shotgun #10 B.Hayes sacked for loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa25 (#52 K.Harris-Miller, #99 J.Bousum)Q4 1:07 · 3rd & 6 TLSA 29 · −1.0 TLSA EPAQ4 1:07 · 3rd & 6 TLSA 29 · −1.0 TLSA EPA+.23 - 3

Jones 50-yd FG goodDawson Jones 50 Yd Field GoalQ4 0:00 · 2nd & 7 · 35–35 → 38–35 · +2.0 EPAQ4 0:00 · 35–35 → 38–35 · +2.0 EPA+.20 - 4

Jones 59-yd TD run(04:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 T.Jones rush middle for 59 yards gain to the Army00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:15, 1ST DOWN #10 O.Carey kick attempt good (H: #29 M.Tulen, LS: #42 A.Fedigan)Q3 4:21 · 1st & 10 · 28–21 → 28–28 · +4.8 EPAQ3 4:21 · 28–21 → 28–28 · +4.8 EPA−.18 - 5

Kloska blocks Tulen punt(03:57) #29 M.Tulen punt 0 yards to the Tulsa29 blocked by #20 T.Kloska recovered by Army #20 T.Kloska at Tulsa13, End Of PlayQ4 3:57 · 4th & 8 TLSA 29 · −3.5 TLSA EPAQ4 3:57 · 4th & 8 TLSA 29 · −3.5 TLSA EPA+.16
Player EPA
Total · game

Javon Ross · WR5 REC · 84 YDS · 1 TD · 8 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD+8.4
Baylor Hayes · QB23/34 · 262 YDS · 2 TD · 1 INT · 2 SACKS+7.6
Jimmy Calloway · WR10 REC · 88 YDS · 1 TD+6.7
Godspower Nwawuihe · RB12 CAR · 135 YDS · 1 TD+5.2
David Wells Jr. · WR1 REC · 7 YDS · 11 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD+4.1
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 384 | 410 |
| Plays | 64 | 60 |
| Yards / play | 6.0 | 6.8 |
| EPA / play | +0.13 | +0.31 |
| Success rate | 38% | 45% |
| Explosive plays | 6 | 9 |
| Havoc rate | 12% | 6% |
| 3rd down | 5–14 | 6–12 |
| Pts / opportunity | 3.17 | 3.11 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
| Time of possession | 33:34 | 26:26 |
| Postgame WE | 46% | 54% |

