NCSUNC State
283-4 · 1-3 ACCFINAL
STANStanford
314-4 · 2-3 ACCSTAN +7.5 COVEROVER 54.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP STAN 29%→POSTGAME WE STAN 40%
Stanford Stadium- Postgame WE
- 40%STAN · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.33NCSU +0.25
- Success rate
- 46%NCSU 51%
- Turnovers
- 0–0
- vs model
- −3proj NCSU by 9.0
- Plays · pace
- 130proj 134 · 27.7s
Win probability · full game
STAN LOW 24% · Q2 6:07 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 3.6Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1
Bailey 58-yd TD to Desinor(02:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete deep left to #20 D.Desinor caught at STAN31, for 58 yards to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:12, 1ST DOWN #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias)Q1 2:21 · 1st & 10 · 14–0 → 14–7 · +4.8 EPAQ1 2:21 · 14–0 → 14–7 · +4.8 EPA−.22 - 2
Warren 26-yd TD to High(00:31) Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete deep left to #0 C.High caught at NCSU01, for 26 yards to the NCSU00 QB hurried by #8 D.Nelson TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:25, 1ST DOWN Timeout Stanford, clock 00:31 #13 E.Kenney kick attempt good (H: #37 A.Flintoft, LS: #47 A.Chavez)Q2 0:31 · 1st & 10 · 14–14 → 21–14 · +4.1 EPAQ2 0:31 · 14–14 → 21–14 · +4.1 EPA+.19 - 3Warren 5-yd TD to Brown(09:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short left to #23 N.Brown caught at NCSU00, for 5 yards to the NCSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:20, 1ST DOWN #13 E.Kenney kick attempt good (H: #37 A.Flintoft, LS: #47 A.Chavez)Q3 9:24 · 4th & 4 · 21–14 → 28–14 · +4.1 EPAQ3 9:24 · 21–14 → 28–14 · +4.1 EPA+.14
- 4Ford 2-yd run(05:43) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 2 yards gain to the STAN50 (#2 R.Royal, III), 1ST DOWNQ1 5:43 · 4th & 1 STAN 48 · +2.0 EPAQ1 5:43 · 4th & 1 STAN 48 · +2.0 EPA+.13
- 5Gause 12-yd run(08:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush right for 12 yards gain to the STAN25 (#10 S.Mattingly; #11 T.Tafiti), 1ST DOWNQ2 8:51 · 2nd & 9 STAN 37 · +1.4 EPAQ2 8:51 · 2nd & 9 STAN 37 · +1.4 EPA−.12
Player EPA
Total · game
- CJ Bailey · QB17/30 · 256 YDS · 2 TD · 59 RUSH YDS · 2 SACKS+19.4
- Davis Warren · QB22/37 · 303 YDS · 4 TD · 0 INT · 1 SACK+18.5
- Micah Ford · RB22 CAR · 150 YDS · 3 REC · 58 REC YDS+8.3
- Deandre Desinor · RB3 REC · 79 YDS · 1 TD+7.4
- Nico Brown · WR4 REC · 43 YDS · 2 TD+5.2
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | NCSU | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 381 | 477 |
| Plays | 64 | 70 |
| Yards / play | 6.0 | 6.8 |
| EPA / play | +0.25 | +0.33 |
| Success rate | 51% | 46% |
| Explosive plays | 8 | 13 |
| Havoc rate | 8% | 10% |
| 3rd down | 8–14 | 5–13 |
| Pts / opportunity | 3.50 | 3.88 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
| Time of possession | 29:59 | 30:01 |
| Postgame WE | 60% | 40% |