Pittsburgh
5-2 · +20
Miami
#1 · 6-0 · −20KICKOFF IN6:30:1412:00 PM ET · ESPN · Hard Rock Stadium
- Spread · now
- MIA −20▼ 1 · MON 10:14A
- Model
- MIA −16.2+3.8
- Win prob
- 84%was 84 · injury news
- Total
- 48.5model 54.5
- At kickoff
- 81°14 mph NNE · 5% rain
Where the model sees the game
Largest unit mismatches
Miami's passing game vs the Pittsburgh pass defense
Miami gains +0.37 EPA a play on the pass (3rd); Pittsburgh allows +0.11 (69th). About 35 such plays projected.
MIA +13.3MODEL IMPACTThe Miami run defense vs Pittsburgh's run game
Pittsburgh gains +0.08 EPA a play on the run (64th); Miami allows −0.08 (1st). About 34 such plays projected.
MIA +7.2MODEL IMPACTThe pace fight
MIA snaps every 38.8 s, PITT every 26.6 s in neutral situations. Each extra 10 plays moves the total about 3.9 points. The model projects 139 plays against a 131 average.
O 3.0TOTAL IMPACT
Late news
Auto-updating
- Parris ruled outMIA WR · D → OUT
- Turner ruled outPITT RB · P → OUT
- PITT availability reportUpdate 2 · conf:acc
- MIA availability reportUpdate 2 · conf:acc
- MIA availability reportAI gap-fill (unofficial) · agent:injuries
- Turner probablePITT RB · Q → P
Alert me at kickoffNeeds sign-in