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PREGAME · ABC · DKR-TEXAS MEMORIAL STADIUM
Ole Miss
#7 · 5-1 · +3
Texas
#19 · 4-2 · −3
KICKOFF IN12:45:527:30 PM ET · ABC · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Spread · now
TEX −3▼ 3 · SUN 2:09A
Model
TEX −1.1+1.9
Win prob
53%was 53 · weekly run
Total
54model 54.1
At kickoff
86°10 mph SE · 0% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. The Ole Miss run defense vs Texas's run game

    Texas gains +0.01 EPA a play on the run (110th); Ole Miss allows +0.05 (59th). About 34 such plays projected.

    MISS +4.0MODEL IMPACT
  2. Ole Miss's passing game vs the Texas pass defense

    Ole Miss gains +0.33 EPA a play on the pass (7th); Texas allows −0.04 (10th). About 38 such plays projected.

    MISS +3.3MODEL IMPACT
  3. Texas's passing game vs the Ole Miss pass defense

    Texas gains +0.12 EPA a play on the pass (61st); Ole Miss allows +0.13 (78th). About 33 such plays projected.

    TEX +1.2MODEL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Smothers ruled outTEX RB · D → OUT
  2. Christian questionableTEX OL · AVAILABLE → Q
  3. Chatman ruled outTEX OL · Q → OUT
  4. Lockett ruled outTEX WR · Q → OUT
  5. Sanders probableMISS OL · Q → P
  6. MISS availability reportUpdate 2 · conf:sec
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