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PREGAME · ESPN · WILLIAMS-BRICE STADIUM
Tennessee
#11 · 6-1 · +2.5
South Carolina
3-3 · −2.5
KICKOFF IN8:46:363:30 PM ET · ESPN · Williams-Brice Stadium
Spread · now
SC −2.5▲ 4 · MON 10:00A
Model
TENN −5.9+8.4
Win prob
64%was 64 · weekly run
Total
50.5model 50.0
At kickoff
70°10 mph NE · 0% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches

  1. The Tennessee pass defense vs South Carolina's passing game

    South Carolina gains +0.08 EPA a play on the pass (83rd); Tennessee allows −0.10 (2nd). About 37 such plays projected.

    TENN +13.4MODEL IMPACT

  2. Tennessee's run game vs the South Carolina run defense

    Tennessee gains +0.21 EPA a play on the run (3rd); South Carolina allows +0.01 (29th). About 41 such plays projected.

    TENN +4.3MODEL IMPACT

  3. South Carolina's run game vs the Tennessee run defense

    South Carolina gains +0.18 EPA a play on the run (10th); Tennessee allows +0.04 (49th). About 34 such plays projected.

    SC +3.7MODEL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Miller probableSC OL · Q → P
  2. Howell doubtfulSC RB · Q → D
  3. Scott ruled outSC DB · D → OUT
  4. TENN availability reportUpdate 2 · conf:sec
  5. SC availability reportUpdate 2 · conf:sec
  6. Taylor McGregor assignedREPORTED · sideline · Disney+, ESPN
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