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PREGAME · ESPN2 · ARIZONA STADIUM
Iowa State
3-3 · +10.5
Arizona
#25 · 5-1 · −10.5
KICKOFF IN11:18:087:30 PM ET · ESPN2 · Arizona Stadium
Spread · now
ARIZ −10.5▼ 1.5 · SUN 7:07P
Model
ARIZ −10.8+0.3
Win prob
74%was 74 · weekly run
Total
51model 53.1
At kickoff
77°9 mph W · 0% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches

  1. Arizona's passing game vs the Iowa State pass defense

    Arizona gains +0.25 EPA a play on the pass (17th); Iowa State allows +0.12 (70th). About 36 such plays projected.

    ARIZ +7.2MODEL IMPACT

  2. The Arizona run defense vs Iowa State's run game

    Iowa State gains +0.05 EPA a play on the run (83rd); Arizona allows +0.01 (31st). About 35 such plays projected.

    ARIZ +4.1MODEL IMPACT

  3. The Arizona pass defense vs Iowa State's passing game

    Iowa State gains +0.06 EPA a play on the pass (91st); Arizona allows +0.08 (50th). About 29 such plays projected.

    ARIZ +3.6MODEL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Fitzmaurice ruled outISU DT · D → OUT
  2. Verdon ruled outISU EDGE · D → OUT
  3. Molette III cleared to playARIZ S · P → AVAILABLE
  4. Griffin ruled outARIZ CB · Q → OUT
  5. ISU availability reportUpdate 2 · conf:big12
  6. ARIZ availability reportUpdate 2 · conf:big12
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