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PREGAME · PEACOCK · RYAN FIELD
Rutgers
2-4 · +16
Northwestern
#24 · 5-1 · −16
KICKOFF IN6:33:4012:00 PM ET · Peacock · Ryan Field
Spread · now
NU −16▼ 0.5 · FRI 1:45P
Model
NU −16.4+0.4
Win prob
84%was 84 · injury news
Total
59model 60.8
At kickoff
62°10 mph S · 1% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches

  1. Northwestern's run game vs the Rutgers run defense

    Northwestern gains +0.18 EPA a play on the run (9th); Rutgers allows +0.22 (135th). About 36 such plays projected.

    NU +13.3MODEL IMPACT

  2. Northwestern's passing game vs the Rutgers pass defense

    Northwestern gains +0.26 EPA a play on the pass (14th); Rutgers allows +0.17 (98th). About 28 such plays projected.

    NU +8.0MODEL IMPACT

  3. The pace fight

    NU snaps every 32.7 s, RUTG every 35.3 s in neutral situations. Each extra 10 plays moves the total about 4.8 points. The model projects 127 plays against a 131 average.

    U 2.0TOTAL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Jordan probableNU LB · Q → P
  2. RUTG availability reportUpdate 2 · conf:bigten
  3. NU availability reportUpdate 2 · conf:bigten
  4. Spread to NU −16REVERSE LINE MOVE · SPREAD · NU −16.5 → −16 · 13 books
  5. Jackson cleared to playNU DL · Q → AVAILABLE
  6. RUTG availability reportUpdate 1 · conf:bigten
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