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PREGAME · CBSSN · GLASS BOWL
Western Michigan
5-2 · +3
Toledo
5-2 · −3
KICKOFF IN5:42:5212:00 PM ET · CBSSN · Glass Bowl
Spread · now
TOL −3
Model
TOL −5.6+2.6
Win prob
63%was 63 · injury news
Total
47model 51.3
At kickoff
58°0 mph E · 0% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. Toledo's passing game vs the Western Michigan pass defense

    Toledo gains +0.19 EPA a play on the pass (35th); Western Michigan allows +0.15 (88th). About 32 such plays projected.

    TOL +4.8MODEL IMPACT
  2. The Western Michigan run defense vs Toledo's run game

    Toledo gains +0.03 EPA a play on the run (98th); Western Michigan allows +0.04 (49th). About 31 such plays projected.

    WMU +3.4MODEL IMPACT
  3. The Toledo run defense vs Western Michigan's run game

    Western Michigan gains +0.08 EPA a play on the run (56th); Toledo allows +0.01 (33rd). About 39 such plays projected.

    TOL +2.5MODEL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Total up to 47.5LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 46.5 → 47.5 · 19 books
  2. Total up to 46.5LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 45.5 → 46.5 · 19 books
  3. Total up to 45.5LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 44.5 → 45.5 · 2 books
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