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PREGAME · SEC NETWORK · DAVIS WADE STADIUM
Oklahoma
3-3 · −2.5
Mississippi State
4-2 · +2.5
KICKOFF IN7:58:323:30 PM ET · SEC Network · Davis Wade Stadium
Spread · now
OU −2.5▼ 1 · 8:00
Model
MSST −4.8+7.3
Win prob
61%was 61 · weekly run
Total
47.5model 49.9
At kickoff
76°5 mph ESE · 0% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. The Mississippi State run defense vs Oklahoma's run game

    Oklahoma gains −0.04 EPA a play on the run (128th); Mississippi State allows +0.02 (39th). About 30 such plays projected.

    MSST +7.0MODEL IMPACT
  2. The Oklahoma pass defense vs Mississippi State's passing game

    Mississippi State gains +0.21 EPA a play on the pass (30th); Oklahoma allows −0.03 (13th). About 35 such plays projected.

    OU +2.6MODEL IMPACT
  3. Mississippi State's run game vs the Oklahoma run defense

    Mississippi State gains +0.17 EPA a play on the run (13th); Oklahoma allows −0.01 (21st). About 31 such plays projected.

    MSST +1.3MODEL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Chester cleared to playMSST OL · Q → AVAILABLE
  2. Bothwell cleared to playMSST RB · Q → AVAILABLE
  3. Smith ruled outMSST S · Q → OUT
  4. Tillman cleared to playMSST LB · Q → AVAILABLE
  5. Thomas doubtfulOU WR · Q → D
  6. Livingstone cleared to playOU WR · P → AVAILABLE
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