Indiana
#6 · 6-1 · −7.5
Michigan
4-2 · +7.5KICKOFF IN6:31:1112:00 PM ET · FOX · Michigan Stadium
- Spread · now
- IU −7.5▼ 1 · SUN 1:17P
- Model
- IU −7.5
- Win prob
- 67%was 67 · injury news
- Total
- 42.5model 51.6
- At kickoff
- 59°3 mph ESE · 0% rain
Where the model sees the game
Largest unit mismatches
The pace fight
MICH snaps every 31.8 s, IU every 27.5 s in neutral situations. Each extra 10 plays moves the total about 4.4 points. The model projects 117 plays against a 131 average.
U 6.3TOTAL IMPACTIndiana's passing game vs the Michigan pass defense
Indiana gains +0.35 EPA a play on the pass (5th); Michigan allows +0.00 (20th). About 28 such plays projected.
IU +5.0MODEL IMPACTThe Indiana run defense vs Michigan's run game
Michigan gains +0.07 EPA a play on the run (71st); Indiana allows −0.02 (17th). About 34 such plays projected.
IU +4.7MODEL IMPACT
Late news
Auto-updating
- IU availability reportUpdate 2 · conf:bigten
- MICH availability reportUpdate 2 · conf:bigten
- Total up to 42.5LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 41.5 → 42.5 · 20 books
- IU availability reportUpdate 1 · conf:bigten
- MICH availability reportUpdate 1 · conf:bigten
- IU availability reportInitial · conf:bigten
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