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PREGAME · ACC NETWORK · KENAN STADIUM
Syracuse
2-4 · +9
North Carolina
4-2 · −9
KICKOFF IN11:57:307:30 PM ET · ACC Network · Kenan Stadium
Spread · now
UNC −9▲ 1 · THU 8:01P
Model
UNC −7.3+1.7
Win prob
67%was 67 · weekly run
Total
47.5model 51.2
At kickoff
60°6 mph NE · 0% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches

  1. The North Carolina pass defense vs Syracuse's passing game

    Syracuse gains +0.07 EPA a play on the pass (88th); North Carolina allows +0.04 (32nd). About 36 such plays projected.

    UNC +6.1MODEL IMPACT

  2. North Carolina's run game vs the Syracuse run defense

    North Carolina gains +0.09 EPA a play on the run (52nd); Syracuse allows +0.12 (101st). About 33 such plays projected.

    UNC +3.7MODEL IMPACT

  3. The pace fight

    UNC snaps every 29.4 s, SYR every 26.8 s in neutral situations. Each extra 10 plays moves the total about 3.7 points. The model projects 137 plays against a 131 average.

    O 2.1TOTAL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Deslauriers probableSYR LB · Q → P
  2. Angeli probableSYR QB · Q → P
  3. Woody probableSYR K · Q → P
  4. Burrell probableUNC K · Q → P
  5. Hall probableUNC RB · Q → P
  6. Hall probableUNC OL · Q → P
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