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FINAL · NBC · CAMP RANDALL STADIUM
USCUSC
76-2 · 3-2 Big Ten
7
FINAL
WISWisconsin
245-2 · 3-1 Big Ten
24
WIS +1.5 COVERUNDER 50.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP WIS 46%→POSTGAME WE WIS 87%
Camp Randall Stadium
Postgame WE
87%WIS · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
−0.06USC −0.19
Success rate
42%USC 47%
Turnovers
0–2≈ 9.6 pts swing
vs model
−17proj USC by 1.7
Plays · pace
132proj 127 · 27.3s

Win probability · full game

WIS LOW 37% · Q2 7:48 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 3.7

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Wisconsin
    Jackson 5-yd TD run
    (01:54) Shotgun #21 B.Jackson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:51 #97 G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe)
    Q2 1:54 · 1st & Goal · 3–7 → 10–7 · +1.7 EPA
    Q2 1:54 · 3–7 → 10–7 · +1.7 EPA
    +.13
  2. 2Wisconsin
    Pass Interference on USC
    (02:00) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete deep middle to #89 J.Harris thrown to USC00 PENALTY USC Pass Interference (#0 J.Williams) 15 yards from USC20 to USC05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
    Q2 2:00 · 2nd & 19 USC 20 · +2.4 EPA
    Q2 2:00 · 2nd & 19 USC 20 · +2.4 EPA
    +.12
  3. 3Wisconsin
    Skanes intercepts Maiava
    (04:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass intercepted by #21 C.Skanes at WIS38 #21 C.Skanes return 27 yards to the USC35 (#14 J.Maiava)
    Q1 4:04 · 3rd & 5 WIS 42 · −5.8 USC EPA
    Q1 4:04 · 3rd & 5 WIS 42 · −5.8 USC EPA
    +.12
  4. 4Wisconsin
    Pass Interference on USC
    (12:29) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete deep left to #9 J.Domingeaux thrown to USC43 PENALTY USC Pass Interference (#2 E.Hill IV) 15 yards from WIS19 to WIS34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
    Q1 12:29 · 3rd & 12 WIS 19 · +3.8 EPA
    Q1 12:29 · 3rd & 12 WIS 19 · +3.8 EPA
    +.12
  5. 5Wisconsin
    West intercepts Maiava
    (08:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass intercepted by #5 B.West at USC40 broken up by #2 J.Robinson #5 B.West return 23 yards to the USC17 (#4 T.Mosley)
    Q1 8:22 · 3rd & 10 USC 18 · −3.8 USC EPA
    Q1 8:22 · 3rd & 10 USC 18 · −3.8 USC EPA
    +.11

Player EPA

Total · game

Play-by-play

Box score

Team box score, USC at Wisconsin
StatUSCWIS
Total yards241200
Plays7557
Yards / play3.23.5
EPA / play−0.19−0.06
Success rate47%42%
Explosive plays05
Havoc rate16%17%
3rd down7–156–12
Pts / opportunity0.884.00
Turnovers20
Time of possession27:2432:36
Postgame WE13%87%