Sacramento State
1-6 · +14.5
Ball State
2-5 · −14.5KICKOFF IN7:58:333:30 PM ET · ESPN+ · Scheumann Stadium
- Spread · now
- BALL −14.5▲ 1 · TUE 1:09A
- Model
- BALL −10.8+3.7
- Win prob
- 74%was 74 · weekly run
- Total
- 51model 53.6
- At kickoff
- 70°2 mph ESE · 0% rain
Where the model sees the game
Largest unit mismatches
Ball State's passing game vs the Sacramento State pass defense
Ball State gains +0.12 EPA a play on the pass (62nd); Sacramento State allows +0.23 (119th). About 34 such plays projected.
BALL +6.0MODEL IMPACTThe Ball State pass defense vs Sacramento State's passing game
Sacramento State gains −0.14 EPA a play on the pass (138th); Ball State allows +0.28 (131st). About 40 such plays projected.
BALL +5.3MODEL IMPACTThe pace fight
BALL snaps every 34.1 s, SAC every 32.0 s in neutral situations. Each extra 10 plays moves the total about 4.2 points. The model projects 127 plays against a 131 average.
U 1.7TOTAL IMPACT
Late news
Auto-updating
- Forrest Conoly assignedREPORTED · analyst · ESPN+
- Joe Tordy assignedREPORTED · play by play · ESPN+
- Spread to BALL −14.5LINE MOVE · SPREAD · BALL −13.5 → −14.5 · 11 books
- Spread to BALL −13.5LINE MOVE · SPREAD · BALL −11.5 → −13.5 · 11 books
- Spread to BALL −14STEAM · SPREAD · BALL −11.5 → −14 · 5 books · 300s window
- Spread to BALL −11.5LINE MOVE · SPREAD · BALL −10.5 → −11.5 · 8 books
Alert me at kickoffNeeds sign-in