Oregon
4-2 · −9.5
Illinois
3-3 · +9.5KICKOFF IN6:48:193:00 PM ET · BTN · Memorial Stadium
- Spread · now
- ORE −9.5▲ 1 · FRI 12:51P
- Model
- ORE −10.6+1.1
- Win prob
- 74%was 74 · weekly run
- Total
- 49.5model 54.9
- At kickoff
- 71°6 mph SSE · 0% rain
Where the model sees the game
Largest unit mismatches
Oregon's passing game vs the Illinois pass defense
Oregon gains +0.13 EPA a play on the pass (57th); Illinois allows +0.33 (136th). About 36 such plays projected.
ORE +12.0MODEL IMPACTThe Oregon pass defense vs Illinois's passing game
Illinois gains +0.20 EPA a play on the pass (32nd); Oregon allows −0.06 (7th). About 36 such plays projected.
ORE +4.9MODEL IMPACTThe Oregon run defense vs Illinois's run game
Illinois gains +0.07 EPA a play on the run (71st); Oregon allows −0.04 (9th). About 30 such plays projected.
ORE +4.8MODEL IMPACT
Late news
Auto-updating
- Paris probableILL LB · Q → P
- Lott ruled outORE WR · AVAILABLE → OUT
- Rogers ruled outORE OL · Q → OUT
- Hampton ruled outORE WR · AVAILABLE → OUT
- ORE availability reportUpdate 2 · conf:bigten
- ILL availability reportUpdate 2 · conf:bigten
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