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PREGAME · CBS · ROSE BOWL
Michigan State
2-5 · +15
UCLA
#9 · 6-0 · −15
KICKOFF IN7:17:213:30 PM ET · CBS · Rose Bowl
Spread · now
UCLA −15▲ 1 · WED 8:54P
Model
UCLA −16.3+1.3
Win prob
84%UCLA
Total
44model 49.8
At kickoff
69°5 mph E · 0% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches

  1. The UCLA pass defense vs Michigan State's passing game

    Michigan State gains +0.08 EPA a play on the pass (80th); UCLA allows −0.03 (12th). About 32 such plays projected.

    UCLA +8.2MODEL IMPACT

  2. The UCLA run defense vs Michigan State's run game

    Michigan State gains +0.02 EPA a play on the run (104th); UCLA allows +0.01 (30th). About 33 such plays projected.

    UCLA +5.3MODEL IMPACT

  3. UCLA's run game vs the Michigan State run defense

    UCLA gains +0.18 EPA a play on the run (5th); Michigan State allows +0.01 (35th). About 37 such plays projected.

    UCLA +3.0MODEL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. MSU availability reportUpdate 2 · conf:bigten
  2. UCLA availability reportUpdate 2 · conf:bigten
  3. Brooks cleared to playUCLA OL · P → AVAILABLE
  4. MSU availability reportUpdate 1 · conf:bigten
  5. UCLA availability reportUpdate 1 · conf:bigten
  6. Total down to 43.5LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 45 → 43.5 · 11 books
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