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PREGAME · ESPN+ · DIX STADIUM
Akron
1-6 · +3
Kent State
2-5 · −3
KICKOFF IN5:28:431:00 PM ET · ESPN+ · Dix Stadium
Spread · now
KENT −3
Model
KENT −6.2+3.2
Win prob
65%was 65 · weekly run
Total
47.5model 49.0
At kickoff
62°2 mph ESE · 0% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches

  1. The Kent State pass defense vs Akron's passing game

    Akron gains −0.07 EPA a play on the pass (131st); Kent State allows +0.12 (74th). About 35 such plays projected.

    KENT +8.7MODEL IMPACT

  2. The pace fight

    KENT snaps every 31.7 s, AKR every 29.4 s in neutral situations. Each extra 10 plays moves the total about 3.8 points. The model projects 127 plays against a 131 average.

    U 1.6TOTAL IMPACT

  3. The Akron pass defense vs Kent State's passing game

    Kent State gains −0.01 EPA a play on the pass (116th); Akron allows +0.21 (114th). About 32 such plays projected.

    AKR +1.2MODEL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Total up to 47.5LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 46.5 → 47.5 · 20 books
  2. Barrett Brooks assignedREPORTED · analyst · ESPN+
  3. Michael Reghi assignedREPORTED · play by play · ESPN+
  4. Total up to 46.5LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 45.5 → 46.5 · 11 books
  5. Total up to 46.5STEAM · TOTAL · 45.5 → 46.5 · 5 books · 300s window
  6. Total up to 45.5LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 44.5 → 45.5 · 10 books
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