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PREGAME · ESPN+ · KELLY/SHORTS STADIUM
Miami (OH)
4-3 · −3.5
Central Michigan
3-4 · +3.5
KICKOFF IN5:28:021:00 PM ET · ESPN+ · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Spread · now
M-OH −3.5▲ 1 · THU 2:00P
Model
M-OH −3.3+0.2
Win prob
58%was 58 · weekly run
Total
40model 51.8
At kickoff
62°6 mph SSE · 0% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches

  1. The pace fight

    CMU snaps every 34.0 s, M-OH every 31.8 s in neutral situations. Each extra 10 plays moves the total about 4.5 points. The model projects 115 plays against a 131 average.

    U 7.2TOTAL IMPACT

  2. The Miami (OH) pass defense vs Central Michigan's passing game

    Central Michigan gains −0.12 EPA a play on the pass (137th); Miami (OH) allows +0.18 (104th). About 20 such plays projected.

    M-OH +4.9MODEL IMPACT

  3. Miami (OH)'s run game vs the Central Michigan run defense

    Miami (OH) gains +0.04 EPA a play on the run (92nd); Central Michigan allows +0.17 (127th). About 29 such plays projected.

    M-OH +2.6MODEL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Total down to 40REVERSE LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 43.5 → 40 · 20 books
  2. Total down to 40LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 41 → 40 · 20 books
  3. Spread to M-OH −3LINE MOVE · SPREAD · M-OH −2 → −3 · 20 books
  4. Marcus Ray assignedREPORTED · analyst · ESPN+
  5. Evan Stockton assignedREPORTED · play by play · ESPN+
  6. Total down to 41LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 42.5 → 41 · 11 books
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