California
3-4 · +19
SMU
#23 · 5-1 · −19KICKOFF IN6:30:3812:00 PM ET · CW · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
- Spread · now
- SMU −19▲ 1 · MON 5:00P
- Model
- SMU −16.2+2.8
- Win prob
- 84%was 84 · injury news
- Total
- 55model 53.8
- At kickoff
- 75°5 mph S · 0% rain
Where the model sees the game
Largest unit mismatches
SMU's passing game vs the California pass defense
SMU gains +0.26 EPA a play on the pass (16th); California allows +0.09 (57th). About 36 such plays projected.
SMU +6.3MODEL IMPACTThe SMU pass defense vs California's passing game
California gains +0.07 EPA a play on the pass (86th); SMU allows +0.07 (46th). About 43 such plays projected.
SMU +5.6MODEL IMPACTThe SMU run defense vs California's run game
California gains −0.02 EPA a play on the run (123rd); SMU allows +0.07 (68th). About 26 such plays projected.
SMU +3.5MODEL IMPACT
Late news
Auto-updating
- Swinney doubtfulCAL OL · Q → D
- Perry doubtfulCAL WR · Q → D
- Strong probableCAL WR · Q → P
- Johnson probableCAL DL · Q → P
- Lewis Jr. doubtfulCAL OL · Q → D
- King doubtfulCAL WR · Q → D
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