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PREGAME · TNT · MEMORIAL STADIUM
Baylor
4-2 · −1
Kansas
2-4 · +1
KICKOFF IN6:17:001:00 PM ET · TNT · Memorial Stadium
Spread · now
BAY −1▼ 1 · 9:30
Model
BAY −1.4+0.4
Win prob
53%was 54 · weekly run
Total
53model 51.6
At kickoff
73°10 mph S · 0% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. The pace fight

    KU snaps every 27.5 s, BAY every 22.6 s in neutral situations. Each extra 10 plays moves the total about 3.4 points. The model projects 150 plays against a 131 average.

    O 6.4TOTAL IMPACT
  2. The Kansas run defense vs Baylor's run game

    Baylor gains −0.01 EPA a play on the run (118th); Kansas allows +0.02 (42nd). About 33 such plays projected.

    KU +5.9MODEL IMPACT
  3. The Baylor run defense vs Kansas's run game

    Kansas gains +0.08 EPA a play on the run (60th); Baylor allows −0.04 (7th). About 39 such plays projected.

    BAY +5.7MODEL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. BAY availability reportUpdate 2 · conf:big12
  2. KU availability reportUpdate 2 · conf:big12
  3. Spread to BAY −1.5REVERSE LINE MOVE · SPREAD · BAY −2.5 → −1.5 · 20 books
  4. Spread to BAY −1.5LINE MOVE · SPREAD · BAY −2.5 → −1.5 · 20 books
  5. Spread to BAY −1STEAM · SPREAD · BAY −2.5 → −1 · 4 books · 300s window
  6. BAY availability reportUpdate 1 · conf:big12
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