

Baylor
4-2 · −1

Kansas
2-4 · +1KICKOFF IN6:17:001:00 PM ET · TNT · Memorial Stadium
- Spread · now
- BAY −1▼ 1 · 9:30
- Model
- BAY −1.4+0.4
- Win prob
- 53%was 54 · weekly run
- Total
- 53model 51.6
- At kickoff
- 73°10 mph S · 0% rain
Where the model sees the game
Largest unit mismatches
The pace fight
KU snaps every 27.5 s, BAY every 22.6 s in neutral situations. Each extra 10 plays moves the total about 3.4 points. The model projects 150 plays against a 131 average.
O 6.4TOTAL IMPACTThe Kansas run defense vs Baylor's run game
Baylor gains −0.01 EPA a play on the run (118th); Kansas allows +0.02 (42nd). About 33 such plays projected.
KU +5.9MODEL IMPACTThe Baylor run defense vs Kansas's run game
Kansas gains +0.08 EPA a play on the run (60th); Baylor allows −0.04 (7th). About 39 such plays projected.
BAY +5.7MODEL IMPACT
Late news
Auto-updating
- BAY availability reportUpdate 2 · conf:big12
- KU availability reportUpdate 2 · conf:big12
- Spread to BAY −1.5REVERSE LINE MOVE · SPREAD · BAY −2.5 → −1.5 · 20 books
- Spread to BAY −1.5LINE MOVE · SPREAD · BAY −2.5 → −1.5 · 20 books
- Spread to BAY −1STEAM · SPREAD · BAY −2.5 → −1 · 4 books · 300s window
- BAY availability reportUpdate 1 · conf:big12
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