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PREGAME · ESPN · RICE-ECCLES STADIUM
Houston
#14 · 6-1 · +6.5
Utah
#10 · 6-0 · −6.5
KICKOFF IN14:42:3710:15 PM ET · ESPN · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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UTAH −6.5▲ 1 · SUN 4:07P
Model
UTAH −4.5+2.0
Win prob
61%was 61 · weekly run
Total
57.5model 60.8
At kickoff
49°3 mph WNW · 2% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches

  1. Houston's passing game vs the Utah pass defense

    Houston gains +0.39 EPA a play on the pass (2nd); Utah allows +0.02 (24th). About 31 such plays projected.

    HOU +8.4MODEL IMPACT

  2. Utah's passing game vs the Houston pass defense

    Utah gains +0.23 EPA a play on the pass (24th); Houston allows +0.13 (76th). About 36 such plays projected.

    UTAH +6.9MODEL IMPACT

  3. The pace fight

    UTAH snaps every 27.7 s, HOU every 29.9 s in neutral situations. Each extra 10 plays moves the total about 4.3 points. The model projects 140 plays against a 131 average.

    O 3.9TOTAL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Total up to 57.5LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 56.5 → 57.5 · 20 books
  2. HOU availability reportUpdate 2 · conf:big12
  3. UTAH availability reportUpdate 2 · conf:big12
  4. Hart ruled outUTAH CB · AVAILABLE → OUT
  5. Wallace ruled outUTAH DT · AVAILABLE → OUT
  6. Yates ruled outHOU LB · AVAILABLE → OUT
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