Kansas State
4-2 · −1.5
Arizona State
3-3 · +1.5KICKOFF IN7:33:073:45 PM ET · ESPN2 · Mountain America Stadium
- Spread · now
- KSU −1.5▼ 1 · 3:15
- Model
- KSU −3.5+2.0
- Win prob
- 58%was 58 · weekly run
- Total
- 52.5model 54.8
- At kickoff
- 75°0 mph WSW · 12% rain
Where the model sees the game
Largest unit mismatches
Kansas State's run game vs the Arizona State run defense
Kansas State gains +0.16 EPA a play on the run (20th); Arizona State allows +0.13 (111th). About 36 such plays projected.
KSU +8.0MODEL IMPACTThe Kansas State pass defense vs Arizona State's passing game
Arizona State gains +0.06 EPA a play on the pass (97th); Kansas State allows +0.13 (75th). About 36 such plays projected.
KSU +2.3MODEL IMPACTThe pace fight
ASU snaps every 27.0 s, KSU every 30.1 s in neutral situations. Each extra 10 plays moves the total about 4.0 points. The model projects 137 plays against a 131 average.
O 2.2TOTAL IMPACT
Late news
Auto-updating
- Spread to KSU −1.5LINE MOVE · SPREAD · KSU −2.5 → −1.5 · 20 books
- Total down to 53LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 54 → 53 · 19 books
- Johnson doubtfulKSU QB · Q → D
- Oakley doubtfulKSU TE · Q → D
- Johnson cleared to playASU WR · P → AVAILABLE
- Ruggeroli cleared to playASU OL · P → AVAILABLE
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