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PREGAME · FS1 · NIPPERT STADIUM
Texas Tech
#8 · 6-0 · −11.5
Cincinnati
4-2 · +11.5
KICKOFF IN8:03:3112:00 PM ET · FS1 · Nippert Stadium
Spread · now
TTU −11.5▲ 1 · FRI 3:11P
Model
TTU −9.8+1.7
Win prob
72%was 72 · injury news
Total
56.5model 54.1
At kickoff
63°2 mph E · 0% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches

  1. Texas Tech's passing game vs the Cincinnati pass defense

    Texas Tech gains +0.12 EPA a play on the pass (67th); Cincinnati allows +0.23 (121st). About 32 such plays projected.

    TTU +5.4MODEL IMPACT

  2. The Texas Tech pass defense vs Cincinnati's passing game

    Cincinnati gains +0.17 EPA a play on the pass (43rd); Texas Tech allows −0.03 (15th). About 30 such plays projected.

    TTU +3.7MODEL IMPACT

  3. Texas Tech's run game vs the Cincinnati run defense

    Texas Tech gains +0.10 EPA a play on the run (51st); Cincinnati allows +0.08 (76th). About 34 such plays projected.

    TTU +2.0MODEL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Sampson cleared to playTTU OL · P → AVAILABLE
  2. Mathis cleared to playTTU LB · P → AVAILABLE
  3. Church cleared to playTTU OL · P → AVAILABLE
  4. Quiller probableTTU S · Q → P
  5. McMath cleared to playTTU OL · P → AVAILABLE
  6. Crite probableCIN S · Q → P
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