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PREGAME · ESPN2 · AMON G. CARTER STADIUM
West Virginia
4-3 · +10.5
TCU
3-3 · −10.5
KICKOFF IN3:47:2112:00 PM ET · ESPN2 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
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TCU −10.5▲ 1 · THU 1:09P
Model
TCU −14.7+4.2
Win prob
81%was 81 · weekly run
Total
57.5model 54.4
At kickoff
74°5 mph S · 0% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches

  1. TCU's passing game vs the West Virginia pass defense

    TCU gains +0.16 EPA a play on the pass (47th); West Virginia allows +0.35 (137th). About 38 such plays projected.

    TCU +15.1MODEL IMPACT

  2. The pace fight

    TCU snaps every 30.1 s, WVU every 22.3 s in neutral situations. Each extra 10 plays moves the total about 3.8 points. The model projects 142 plays against a 131 average.

    O 4.0TOTAL IMPACT

  3. The West Virginia run defense vs TCU's run game

    TCU gains −0.06 EPA a play on the run (131st); West Virginia allows +0.13 (106th). About 33 such plays projected.

    WVU +3.5MODEL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Payne doubtfulTCU RB · Q → D
  2. Ashley probableTCU TE · Q → P
  3. Lemmermann probableTCU K · Q → P
  4. Yaites ruled outTCU S · D → OUT
  5. McIntyre Jr. ruled outWVU DL · D → OUT
  6. Holloman cleared to playWVU EDGE · P → AVAILABLE
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