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PREGAME · ESPNU · PEDEN STADIUM
Eastern Michigan
4-4 · +10
Ohio
5-2 · −10
KICKOFF IN8:28:164:00 PM ET · ESPNU · Peden Stadium
Spread · now
OHIO −10▼ 1.5 · FRI 1:11P
Model
OHIO −15.6+5.6
Win prob
83%was 83 · weekly run
Total
48.5model 56.5
At kickoff
68°2 mph ESE · 0% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches

  1. Ohio's passing game vs the Eastern Michigan pass defense

    Ohio gains +0.13 EPA a play on the pass (59th); Eastern Michigan allows +0.30 (133rd). About 26 such plays projected.

    OHIO +7.4MODEL IMPACT

  2. The Ohio run defense vs Eastern Michigan's run game

    Eastern Michigan gains +0.02 EPA a play on the run (108th); Ohio allows +0.04 (50th). About 27 such plays projected.

    OHIO +3.4MODEL IMPACT

  3. Ohio's run game vs the Eastern Michigan run defense

    Ohio gains +0.13 EPA a play on the run (33rd); Eastern Michigan allows +0.06 (64th). About 39 such plays projected.

    OHIO +3.0MODEL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Spread to OHIO −10LINE MOVE · SPREAD · OHIO −11.5 → −10 · 20 books
  2. Spread to OHIO −10STEAM · SPREAD · OHIO −11.5 → −10 · 7 books · 300s window
  3. Tyoka Jackson assignedREPORTED · analyst · ESPNU
  4. Doug Sherman assignedREPORTED · play by play · ESPNU
  5. Spread to OHIO −11.5REVERSE LINE MOVE · SPREAD · OHIO −9.5 → −11.5 · 20 books
  6. Total down to 48.5LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 49.5 → 48.5 · 11 books
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