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PREGAME · ESPN+ · M. M. ROBERTS STADIUM
Louisiana
5-2 · −10
Southern Miss
1-5 · +10
KICKOFF IN9:27:345:00 PM ET · ESPN+ · M. M. Roberts Stadium
Spread · now
UL −10▼ 0.5 · FRI 2:45A
Model
UL −7.4+2.6
Win prob
67%was 67 · weekly run
Total
52.5model 51.7
At kickoff
80°10 mph ENE · 0% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches

  1. Louisiana's run game vs the Southern Miss run defense

    Louisiana gains +0.11 EPA a play on the run (42nd); Southern Miss allows +0.14 (118th). About 42 such plays projected.

    UL +7.2MODEL IMPACT

  2. The Louisiana run defense vs Southern Miss's run game

    Southern Miss gains +0.03 EPA a play on the run (100th); Louisiana allows −0.01 (20th). About 29 such plays projected.

    UL +5.1MODEL IMPACT

  3. The Louisiana pass defense vs Southern Miss's passing game

    Southern Miss gains +0.06 EPA a play on the pass (96th); Louisiana allows +0.14 (84th). About 38 such plays projected.

    UL +1.8MODEL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Spread to UL −10REVERSE LINE MOVE · SPREAD · UL −10.5 → −10 · 20 books
  2. UL availability reportInitial Report · conf:sunbelt
  3. USM availability reportInitial Report · conf:sunbelt
  4. Nunnery ruled outUSM OL · Q → OUT
  5. Wilder cleared to playUSM RB · P → AVAILABLE
  6. Rogers ruled outUSM OL · Q → OUT
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