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PREGAME · ESPN+ · VETERANS MEMORIAL STADIUM
UL Monroe
0-6 · +12
Troy
3-3 · −12
KICKOFF IN9:16:264:00 PM ET · ESPN+ · Veterans Memorial Stadium
Spread · now
TROY −12▼ 1 · 7:06
Model
TROY −12.5+0.5
Win prob
78%was 79 · weekly run
Total
50.5model 54.1
At kickoff
72°10 mph NE · 0% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches

  1. Troy's run game vs the UL Monroe run defense

    Troy gains +0.11 EPA a play on the run (45th); UL Monroe allows +0.13 (114th). About 37 such plays projected.

    TROY +5.5MODEL IMPACT

  2. Troy's passing game vs the UL Monroe pass defense

    Troy gains +0.02 EPA a play on the pass (112th); UL Monroe allows +0.28 (132nd). About 30 such plays projected.

    TROY +3.0MODEL IMPACT

  3. The Troy pass defense vs UL Monroe's passing game

    UL Monroe gains −0.01 EPA a play on the pass (117th); Troy allows +0.19 (106th). About 35 such plays projected.

    TROY +2.5MODEL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Spread to TROY −12.5LINE MOVE · SPREAD · TROY −13.5 → −12.5 · 6 books
  2. Total down to 50.5LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 51.5 → 50.5 · 6 books
  3. Spread to TROY −13.5LINE MOVE · SPREAD · TROY −14.5 → −13.5 · 6 books
  4. ULM availability reportInitial Report · conf:sunbelt
  5. TROY availability reportInitial Report · conf:sunbelt
  6. Spread to TROY −14.5LINE MOVE · SPREAD · TROY −15.5 → −14.5 · 6 books
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