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PREGAME · ABC · JORDAN-HARE STADIUM
LSU
#18 · 5-2 · −7
Auburn
4-2 · +7
KICKOFF IN4:27:3312:00 PM ET · ABC · Jordan-Hare Stadium
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LSU −7▼ 1 · THU 2:29P
Model
LSU −9.6+2.6
Win prob
72%was 72 · weekly run
Total
51.5model 46.4
At kickoff
66°10 mph ENE · 0% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches

  1. The LSU pass defense vs Auburn's passing game

    Auburn gains +0.05 EPA a play on the pass (98th); LSU allows −0.12 (1st). About 39 such plays projected.

    LSU +17.0MODEL IMPACT

  2. The pace fight

    AUB snaps every 22.8 s, LSU every 26.6 s in neutral situations. Each extra 10 plays moves the total about 3.1 points. The model projects 149 plays against a 131 average.

    O 5.4TOTAL IMPACT

  3. The LSU run defense vs Auburn's run game

    Auburn gains +0.14 EPA a play on the run (28th); LSU allows −0.06 (5th). About 35 such plays projected.

    LSU +3.0MODEL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Farrior ruled outAUB DL · Q → OUT
  2. LSU availability reportUpdate 2 · conf:sec
  3. AUB availability reportUpdate 2 · conf:sec
  4. Anderson ruled outLSU DT · D → OUT
  5. LSU availability reportUpdate 1 · conf:sec
  6. AUB availability reportUpdate 1 · conf:sec
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