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PREGAME · MW+ · MACKAY STADIUM
San José State
4-3 · +6.5
Nevada
2-4 · −6.5
KICKOFF IN9:28:275:00 PM ET · MW+ · Mackay Stadium
Spread · now
NEV −6.5▲ 1 · THU 6:09P
Model
NEV −4.8+1.7
Win prob
61%was 61 · weekly run
Total
46.5model 49.2
At kickoff
58°5 mph ESE · 0% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. The San José State pass defense vs Nevada's passing game

    Nevada gains −0.05 EPA a play on the pass (130th); San José State allows +0.08 (52nd). About 30 such plays projected.

    SJSU +8.4MODEL IMPACT
  2. The Nevada run defense vs San José State's run game

    San José State gains −0.08 EPA a play on the run (136th); Nevada allows +0.05 (56th). About 31 such plays projected.

    NEV +7.8MODEL IMPACT
  3. Nevada's run game vs the San José State run defense

    Nevada gains +0.11 EPA a play on the run (43rd); San José State allows +0.12 (97th). About 34 such plays projected.

    NEV +4.5MODEL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Spread to NEV −6.5LINE MOVE · SPREAD · NEV −5.5 → −6.5 · 19 books
  2. SJSU availability reportInitial Report · conf:mountainwest
  3. NEV availability reportInitial Report · conf:mountainwest
  4. Spread to NEV −5.5LINE MOVE · SPREAD · NEV −4.5 → −5.5 · 11 books
  5. Spread to NEV −4.5LINE MOVE · SPREAD · NEV −5.5 → −4.5 · 11 books
  6. Total up to 46.5LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 45.5 → 46.5 · 11 books
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