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PREGAME · CW · CANVAS STADIUM
San Diego State
3-4 · −1.5
Colorado State
2-4 · +1.5
KICKOFF IN11:46:536:30 PM ET · CW · Canvas Stadium
Spread · now
SDSU −1.5▼ 1 · 10:45
Model
CSU −0.3+1.8
Win prob
51%was 51 · weekly run
Total
60model 55.5
At kickoff
54°9 mph E · 10% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. Colorado State's passing game vs the San Diego State pass defense

    Colorado State gains +0.18 EPA a play on the pass (39th); San Diego State allows +0.14 (86th). About 36 such plays projected.

    CSU +4.7MODEL IMPACT
  2. San Diego State's run game vs the Colorado State run defense

    San Diego State gains −0.05 EPA a play on the run (130th); Colorado State allows +0.26 (138th). About 36 such plays projected.

    SDSU +3.6MODEL IMPACT
  3. San Diego State's passing game vs the Colorado State pass defense

    San Diego State gains −0.09 EPA a play on the pass (134th); Colorado State allows +0.36 (138th). About 28 such plays projected.

    SDSU +1.7MODEL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Total down to 60.5LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 61.5 → 60.5 · 20 books
  2. Spread to SDSU −1.5REVERSE LINE MOVE · SPREAD · SDSU −2.5 → −1.5 · 20 books
  3. SDSU availability reportThird Report · conf:pac12
  4. CSU availability reportThird Report · conf:pac12
  5. Camp ruled outCSU TE · NEW → OUT
  6. Santana-Diaz ruled outCSU S · NEW → OUT
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