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PREGAME · ESPN+ · CENTENNIAL BANK STADIUM
Georgia State
4-2 · −2.5
Arkansas State
3-4 · +2.5
KICKOFF IN11:28:327:00 PM ET · ESPN+ · Centennial Bank Stadium
Spread · now
GAST −2.5▲ 1 · SUN 6:12P
Model
GAST −1.1+1.4
Win prob
53%was 53 · weekly run
Total
58.5model 57.5
At kickoff
77°5 mph ENE · 0% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. Georgia State's passing game vs the Arkansas State pass defense

    Georgia State gains +0.22 EPA a play on the pass (28th); Arkansas State allows +0.19 (105th). About 30 such plays projected.

    GAST +7.9MODEL IMPACT
  2. Georgia State's run game vs the Arkansas State run defense

    Georgia State gains +0.09 EPA a play on the run (54th); Arkansas State allows +0.13 (112th). About 35 such plays projected.

    GAST +4.2MODEL IMPACT
  3. Arkansas State's run game vs the Georgia State run defense

    Arkansas State gains +0.02 EPA a play on the run (107th); Georgia State allows +0.17 (128th). About 31 such plays projected.

    ARST +2.2MODEL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. GAST availability reportInitial Report · conf:sunbelt
  2. ARST availability reportInitial Report · conf:sunbelt
  3. Total up to 58.5LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 57.5 → 58.5 · 11 books
  4. Total up to 58.5STEAM · TOTAL · 57.5 → 58.5 · 5 books · 300s window
  5. Total up to 57.5LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 56.5 → 57.5 · 11 books
  6. Total up to 57.5STEAM · TOTAL · 56.5 → 57.5 · 5 books · 300s window
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