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PREGAME · CBSSN · BOBCAT STADIUM
Utah State
2-4 · +13.5
Texas State
3-3 · −13.5
KICKOFF IN12:46:347:30 PM ET · CBSSN · Bobcat Stadium
Spread · now
TXST −13.5▲ 1 · TUE 2:09P
Model
TXST −11.7+1.8
Win prob
76%was 76 · weekly run
Total
60.5model 54.1
At kickoff
85°10 mph SE · 0% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches

  1. The Texas State run defense vs Utah State's run game

    Utah State gains −0.03 EPA a play on the run (125th); Texas State allows +0.03 (47th). About 32 such plays projected.

    TXST +6.5MODEL IMPACT

  2. Texas State's passing game vs the Utah State pass defense

    Texas State gains +0.27 EPA a play on the pass (12th); Utah State allows +0.10 (60th). About 28 such plays projected.

    TXST +5.7MODEL IMPACT

  3. The Texas State pass defense vs Utah State's passing game

    Utah State gains −0.11 EPA a play on the pass (136th); Texas State allows +0.24 (123rd). About 37 such plays projected.

    TXST +5.4MODEL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. USU availability reportThird Report · conf:pac12
  2. TXST availability reportThird Report · conf:pac12
  3. Howell ruled outUSU LB · Q → OUT
  4. Jennette probableUSU LB · Q → P
  5. Randle Jr. ruled outUSU OL · Q → OUT
  6. Pendleton probableUSU LB · Q → P
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